Comprehensive Analysis of Singapore REITs Sector – November 2024 By OCBC Investment Research, 4 November 2024 Key Takeaways Parkway Life REIT (PREIT) has acquired 11 nursing homes in France for SGD159.9m. This move is expected to be accretive to distribution per unit (DPU) on a historical pro forma basis. FY24 DPU forecast remains unchanged, but FY25 DPU is increased by 0.5%, nudging the fair value (FV) estimate from SGD4.48 to SGD4.49. First REIT’s (FIRT) 9M24 DPU of 1.78 Singapore cents missed expectations, constituting 74.1% of the initial full-year forecast. FY24 and FY25 DPU forecasts are lowered by 1.7% and 0.9%, respectively, with a risk-free rate assumption reduced to 2.5% and an equity risk premium increased to 9.25%. FV remains unchanged at SGD0.28. Starhill Global REIT’s (SGREIT) 1QFY25 gross revenue and net property income (NPI) rose by 1.9% and 1.4% YoY. The divestment of strata-titled space at Wisma Atria for SGD16.1m is factored in, increasing FY25 DPU by 0.2% and lowering FY26 DPU by 2%. FV estimate increases from SGD0.50 to SGD0.55. CapitaLand Ascott Trust’s (CLAS) 3Q24 gross profit rose 8% YoY. Divestments are factored in, lowering FY24 and FY25 distribution per stapled security forecasts by 0.4% and 1.1%, respectively. FV estimate is lowered from SGD1.10 to SGD1.06. CapitaLand China Trust’s (CLCT) 9M24 gross revenue and NPI declined by 3.4% and 5.1% YoY. Recovery assumptions are pushed back, lowering FY24 and FY25 DPU forecasts by 0.5% and 1.4%, respectively. FV estimate dips from SGD0.885 to SGD0.87. Mapletree Industrial Trust’s (MINT) 1HFY25 DPU rose by 1.3% to 6.80 Singapore cents, meeting expectations. FY25 and FY26 DPU forecasts are trimmed by 1.6% and 1.7%, respectively, with a lower risk-free rate assumption from 3% to 2.5%. FV estimate increases from SGD2.71 to SGD2.77. CapitaLand Ascendas REIT’s (CLAR) 3Q24 rental reversions accelerated to 14.4%, but occupancy fell by 1.0 percentage point sequentially to 92.1%. FV estimate is raised from SGD3.23 to SGD3.32 due to a lower risk-free rate assumption. Price Performance The FTSE ST REIT Index was down 1.5% week-on-week, while the Straits Times Index (STI) was down 1.1% over the same period. Peer Comparison of Singapore REITs In this section, we delve into the detailed analysis of various REIT categories, examining their market performance, distribution yields, and other key metrics. Office REITs IREIT Global: Price: SGD0.290, Market Cap: SGD390.0m, Yield: N/A, D/A: 37.2%, P/B: 0.50 Keppel REIT: Price: SGD0.895, Market Cap: SGD3,429.6m, Yield: 6.7%, D/A: 41.9%, P/B: 0.70 Manulife US REIT: Price: USD0.112, Market Cap: USD199.0m, Yield: N/A, D/A: 56.3%, P/B: 0.33 OUE REIT: Price: SGD0.295, Market Cap: SGD1,620.4m, Yield: 7.1%, D/A: 39.3%, P/B: 0.50 Suntec REIT: Price: SGD1.170, Market Cap: SGD3,414.0m, Yield: 5.7%, D/A: 42.3%, P/B: 0.57 Keppel Pacific Oak US REIT: Price: USD0.255, Market Cap: USD266.3m, Yield: N/A, D/A: 42.6%, P/B: 0.36 Prime US REIT: Price: USD0.176, Market Cap: USD230.3m, Yield: 10.2%, D/A: 48.1%, P/B: 0.29 Elite UK REIT: Price: GBP0.300, Market Cap: GBP176.1m, Yield: 11.7%, D/A: 41.4%, P/B: 0.73 Retail REITs BHG Retail REIT: Price: SGD0.460, Market Cap: SGD239.0m, Yield: N/A, D/A: 39.8%, P/B: 0.64 CapitaLand Integrated Comm: Price: SGD2.030, Market Cap: SGD14,791.8m, Yield: 5.6%, D/A: 39.8%, P/B: 0.95 CapitaLand China Trust: Price: SGD0.755, Market Cap: SGD1,298.9m, Yield: 8.2%, D/A: 41.6%, P/B: 0.63 Frasers Centrepoint Trust: Price: SGD2.250, Market Cap: SGD4,076.3m, Yield: 5.6%, D/A: 38.5%, P/B: 1.01 Lendlease Global Comm. REIT: Price: SGD0.580, Market Cap: SGD1,388.3m, Yield: 6.7%, D/A: 40.9%, P/B: 0.76 Lippo Malls Indo Retail Trust: Price: SGD0.023, Market Cap: SGD177.0m, Yield: N/A, D/A: 45.0%, P/B: 0.41 Mapletree Pan Asia Comm Trust: Price: SGD1.290, Market Cap: SGD6,786.6m, Yield: 6.7%, D/A: 38.4%, P/B: 0.75 Paragon REIT: Price: SGD0.880, Market Cap: SGD2,500.8m, Yield: 5.0%, D/A: 29.0%, P/B: 0.94 Starhill Global REIT: Price: SGD0.505, Market Cap: SGD1,143.6m, Yield: 7.5%, D/A: 37.2%, P/B: 0.71 Sasseur REIT: Price: SGD0.700, Market Cap: SGD872.0m, Yield: 9.3%, D/A: 25.3%, P/B: 0.82 United Hampshire US REIT: Price: USD0.475, Market Cap: USD277.1m, Yield: 9.7%, D/A: 41.9%, P/B: 0.64 Industrial REITs AIMS APAC REIT: Price: SGD1.270, Market Cap: SGD1,029.9m, Yield: 7.6%, D/A: 33.1%, P/B: 0.97 CapitaLand Ascendas REIT: Price: SGD2.670, Market Cap: SGD11,739.9m, Yield: 5.8%, D/A: 38.9%, P/B: 1.18 ESR-LOGOS REIT: Price: SGD0.285, Market Cap: SGD2,194.1m, Yield: 7.4%, D/A: 36.0%, P/B: 0.96 Frasers Logistics & Comm Trust: Price: SGD1.070, Market Cap: SGD4,020.9m, Yield: 6.5%, D/A: 33.2%, P/B: 0.92 Mapletree Industrial Trust: Price: SGD2.400, Market Cap: SGD6,824.6m, Yield: 5.7%, D/A: 39.1%, P/B: 1.40 Mapletree Logistics Trust: Price: SGD1.320, Market Cap: SGD6,661.0m, Yield: 6.1%, D/A: 40.2%, P/B: 0.99 Sabana REIT: Price: SGD0.360, Market Cap: SGD405.0m, Yield: N/A, D/A: 37.0%, P/B: 0.69 Daiwa House Logistics Trust: Price: SGD0.590, Market Cap: SGD411.3m, Yield: 8.5%, D/A: 37.3%, P/B: 0.86 Hospitality REITs Acrophyte Hospitality Trust: Price: USD0.215, Market Cap: USD124.7m, Yield: N/A, D/A: 43.5%, P/B: 0.31 CapitaLand Ascott Trust: Price: SGD0.905, Market Cap: SGD3,431.3m, Yield: 6.9%, D/A: 38.3%, P/B: 0.82 CDL Hospitality Trusts: Price: SGD0.905, Market Cap: SGD1,135.9m, Yield: 6.7%, D/A: 38.8%, P/B: 0.60 Far East Hospitality Trust: Price: SGD0.625, Market Cap: SGD1,257.0m, Yield: 6.6%, D/A: 30.8%, P/B: 0.68 Frasers Hospitality Trust: Price: SGD0.430, Market Cap: SGD828.2m, Yield: 6.0%, D/A: 35.3%, P/B: 0.65 Healthcare REITs First REIT: Price: SGD0.270, Market Cap: SGD563.2m, Yield: 9.3%, D/A: 39.3%, P/B: 0.93 Parkway Life REIT: Price: SGD3.750, Market Cap: SGD2,268.8m, Yield: 4.0%, D/A: 37.5%, P/B: 1.63 Data Centre REITs Keppel DC REIT: Price: SGD2.270, Market Cap: SGD3,916.4m, Yield: 4.4%, D/A: 39.7%, P/B: 1.66 Digital Core REIT: Price: USD0.605, Market Cap: USD785.4m, Yield: 6.3%, D/A: 34.8%, P/B: 0.92 Other REITs Cromwell European REIT: Price: EUR1.640, Market Cap: EUR922.3m, Yield: 8.5%, D/A: 40.5%, P/B: 0.78 Weekly Top Gainers and Losers Top 5 Gainers Cromwell European REIT: +2.5% Suntec REIT: +2.2% Sasseur REIT: +1.8% Lippo Malls Indo Retail Trust: +1.7% Lendlease Global Comm. REIT: +1.7% Bottom 5 Losers Keppel DC REIT: -3.8% Elite UK REIT: -3.8% Digital Core REIT: -3.7% Mapletree Pan Asia Comm Trust: -3.7% Keppel Pacific Oak US REIT: -3.8% Weekly Sector Performance Others: +3.0% Retail: -0.8% Healthcare: -1.1% Hospitality: -1.4% Industrial: -1.9% Office: -2.6% Data Centre: -2.9% Distribution Details Name DPU (cents) Date Announced Ex-date Record Date Pay Date ParkwayLife REIT 0.760 22 Oct 2024 29 Oct 2024 30 Oct 2024 26 Nov 2024 Suntec REIT 1.580 24 Oct 2024 1 Nov 2024 4 Nov 2024 28 Nov 2024 Frasers Centrepoint Trust 6.020 25 Oct 2024 4 Nov 2024 5 Nov 2024 29 Nov 2024 Mapletree Pan Asia Comm 1.980 24 Oct 2024 1 Nov 2024 4 Nov 2024 6 Dec 2024 Mapletree Logistics Trust 2.027 22 Oct 2024 29 Oct 2024 30 Oct 2024 17 Dec 2024 Mapletree Industrial Trust 3.370 Previous Post PLYTEC Holding: Technical Buy Signal as Uptrend Stays Intact – Malaysia Stock Market Analysis Next Post Equinix Stock: Strong Q3 Results and Raised Guidance Signal Robust Growth in Data Center REIT Related Posts Bursa KLSE stocksMarket Updates Major Cineplex Minichart September 13, 2024 4. Major Cineplex (MAJOR TB) Major Cineplex has shown a positive earnings outlook for 2H24, driven by an expected increase in moviegoer attendance and box office revenues. The target price for Major Cineplex is... Market UpdatesSingapore SGX stocks Singapore Telecommunications Limited (Singtel) Minichart September 2, 2024 Singapore Telecommunications Limited (Singtel) Recommendation: BUY Target Price: SGD 3.45 Stop Loss: Not specified Date of Recommendation: 2nd September 2024 Broker: Maybank Research Pte Ltd Investment Thesis: Singapore Telecommunications – Riding on Digital Transformation... Market UpdatesSingapore SGX stocks text Download Copy code 1Okay, here’s an attempt to create an SEO title and answer potential user questions based on the provided document: 2 3**SEO title:** 4SEO title: SATS Ltd (SATS SP): Embedded Resilience & FY26F Outlook – CGS International Analysis 5 6**Analysis based on the document:** 7 8Based on the document provided, here’s a summary of key points and potential user questions with answers: 9 10**Key Points:** 11 12* **Company:** SATS Ltd (SATS SP) 13* **Recommendation:** Reiterate Add 14* **Analyst:** TAY Wee Kuang and LIM Siew Khee, CGS International 15* **Key Themes:** Embedded resilience, cargo market share gains, FY26F outlook 16* **Target Price:** S\$3.60 17* **ESG:** Rated B- by LSEG 18 19**Potential User Questions & Answers:** 20 21**Q: What is the overall recommendation for SATS Ltd?** 22A: CGS International reiterates an “Add” recommendation for SATS Ltd. [[1]] 23 24**Q: What is the target price for SATS Ltd, and who set it?** 25A: The target price is S\$3.60, set by CGS International. [[1]] 26 27**Q: What is the basis for the target price?** 28A: The target price is DCF-based (Discounted Cash Flow), with a WACC of 12.2%. [[1]] 29 30**Q: What are the key factors driving the “Add” recommendation?** 31A: The key factor is SATS’s growing market share in cargo handling, which is expected to support earnings growth in FY26F, even with potential global cargo demand weakness. [[1]] 32 33**Q: What is SATS’s ESG rating?** 34A: SATS has an ESG combined score of B- by LSEG. [[1, 5]] 35 36**Q: What were SATS’s 4QFY3/25 financial results?** 37A: SATS reported a 4QFY3/25 net profit of S\$38.7m (+18.3% yoy). Revenue was S\$1.48bn (+10.4% yoy). [[1]] 38 39**Q: What are the potential risks to SATS’s performance?** 40A: Downside risks include margin compression from weaker operating leverage due to softening cargo volumes and a decline in the aviation travel industry due to an economic downturn. [[1]] 41 42**Q: What is the dividend payout?** 43A: SATS declared a final DPS of 3.5 Scts, bringing FY25 total DPS to 5.0 Scts, representing a payout ratio of 30.6%. [[1]] 44 45**Q: What is the earnings growth outlook?** 46A: The report anticipates a 3-year earnings CAGR of 15.0%. [[1]] 47 48**Q: Has the analyst revised earnings estimates?** 49A: Yes, FY26F-27F EPS estimates have been increased by 7.9-8.5%. FY28F estimates are introduced. [[1]] 50 51**Q: What are the catalysts for a potential re-rating?** 52A: Potential re-rating catalysts include an expanded footprint for cargo operations supporting new contract wins and a faster step-up in utilization of its new central kitchens across China and India. [[1]] 53 54**Q: What is SATS’s market capitalization?** 55A: The market cap is US\$3,444m / S\$4,428m. [[1]] 56 57**Q: Who are the major shareholders of SATS?** 58A: Temasek Holdings is a major shareholder, holding 40.4%. [[1]] 59 60**Q: What is SATS’s revenue in Mar-25A?** 61A: SATS’s revenue in Mar-25A is S\$5,821 million. [[1]] 62 63**Q: What are the peers of SATS?** 64A: Airports of Thailand is a peer. [[4]] 65 66**Q: What is the forecast dividend yield for Mar-26F?** 67A: The forecast dividend yield for Mar-26F is 1.85%. [[1]] minichart May 26, 2025 CGS International May 26, 2025 SATS Ltd: Embedded Resilience to Tide Through FY26F Key Takeaways from SATS Ltd’s 4QFY3/25 Performance SATS Ltd reported a 4QFY3/25 net profit of S\$38.7m, which is an 18.3% year-over-year...