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Friday, March 20th, 2026

AIA Group (1299 HK) 2026 Outlook: Strong Growth, Mark Tucker’s Return & Share Price Upside

Broker: China Galaxy International Securities (Hong Kong) Co., Limited
Date of Report: March 18, 2026

Excerpt from China Galaxy International Securities report.

Report Summary:

  • China Galaxy International reiterates its high-conviction “Add” rating on AIA Group, raising the target price to HK\$119, citing robust FY25-27 growth prospects, strong sales across Hong Kong, mainland China, and Singapore, and enhanced governance following Mark Tucker’s return as chairman.
  • AIA is seen as outperforming regional peers, especially on value of new business (VONB) and operating profit per share, with forward guidance and improved disclosures expected to be positive catalysts for further share price appreciation.
  • Key upside drivers include strong FY25 results, improved financial target transparency, and faster expansion in mainland China; main risks are capital controls, regulatory changes, and investment yield pressures.
  • AIA’s financial targets, including VONB growth, OPAT per share growth, and dividend policies, are benchmarked against regional insurers and banks, establishing its leadership in operational performance and transparency.
  • Valuation roll-forward, sector comparisons, and consensus forecasts suggest AIA’s premium is justified by its consistent shareholder returns and lower risk profile.

Above is an excerpt from a report by China Galaxy International Securities. Clients of China Galaxy International Securities can be the first to access the full report from the China Galaxy International Securities website: https://www.chinastock.com.hk/

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