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Saturday, August 1st, 2026

China & Hong Kong Market Outlook March 2026: Top Stock Picks, Sector Strategies, and Impact of Geopolitical Tensions

Broker Name: DBS Bank (Hong Kong) Limited

Date of Report: 10 March 2026

Excerpt from DBS Bank (Hong Kong) Limited report.

    Report Summary

  • Heightened geopolitical tensions, particularly the US-Israel-Iran conflict, have increased market volatility, spiked oil prices, and affected flows into EM/Asia equities. The base case is a likely de-escalation, but alternative scenarios like partial transit or full blockade remain possible.
  • Rising input costs are impacting sectors differently; leading PC, battery, and consumer staple companies are generally better positioned to absorb or pass through higher costs, while airlines and some mid-tier consumer names face greater margin risks.
  • Investment strategy recommends selectively re-entering oversold growth names (e.g., Alibaba, Tencent), metal stocks (Zijin Mining), and tankers benefiting from resumed oil flows. In case of prolonged disruptions, focus shifts to energy stocks (CNOOC, PetroChina) and defensive yield plays (China Mobile, CK Infrastructure).
  • Sector preferences have been updated: oil & gas upgraded to neutral; top picks include Alibaba, CATL, Ping An, China Mobile, HKEx, Tencent, Zijin Mining, and more. Detailed earnings sensitivity analysis identifies key beneficiaries and victims from rising input costs.
  • Near-term outlook expects continued volatility until tangible de-escalation milestones are achieved. Investors are advised to monitor geopolitical developments, commodity prices, and company-specific catalysts in upcoming results and sector events.

Above is an excerpt from a report by DBS Bank (Hong Kong) Limited. Clients of DBS Bank (Hong Kong) Limited can be the first to access the full report from the DBS website : https://www.dbs.com.hk

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