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Wednesday, February 25th, 2026

Yancoal Australia 2025 Financial Results: Record Production, Earnings, and 2026 Outlook




Yancoal Australia Ltd 2025 Financial Results: Key Takeaways for Investors

Yancoal Australia Ltd 2025 Financial Results: Key Takeaways for Investors

Overview

Yancoal Australia Ltd has released its 2025 full-year financial results, providing a comprehensive update on operational, financial, and strategic performance. Several developments outlined in the report could be significant for investors, including robust operational performance, healthy cash reserves, strategic capital management, and progress on future growth projects.

Key Highlights

  • Record Production: Achieved 67.0 million tonnes of ROM coal production, the best performance in the last five years. Saleable coal production reached 50.8Mt (100% basis), and attributable saleable production was 38.6Mt, both company records.
  • Strong Financial Position: Revenue was \$5.95 billion, with an operating EBITDA of \$1,437 million (24% margin). Profit after tax was \$440 million, with \$0.33 earnings per share.
  • Solid Cash Position, No Interest-Bearing Loans: Ended 2025 with a \$2.1 billion cash balance and no interest-bearing loans.
  • Healthy Dividend Payout: Announced a fully franked final dividend of \$161 million (\$0.1220/share), contributing to a 55% payout ratio for the year. Franking credits exceeded \$2.0 billion at year-end, providing tax advantages for shareholders.
  • Operational Efficiency: Maintained competitive cash operating costs at \$92/tonne and an implied operating cash margin of \$39/tonne, despite a challenging pricing environment.
  • Low Gearing: The company remains ungeared with a strong net cash position, providing flexibility for future growth and returns to shareholders.
  • World-Class Productivity: Moolarben’s EX104 Liebherr R9800 set a world record for material movement, further highlighting operational excellence.
  • Market Position: Yancoal maintains a strong presence as a large-scale, low-cost producer, with increasing market share in Australia due to product quality and supply reliability.

Operational and Market Performance

  • Safety: 12-month rolling Total Recordable Injury Frequency Rate (TRIFR) improved to 6.14, remaining below the industry average and reflecting ongoing commitment to safety.
  • Sustainability: The company launched a Sustainability Digital Data Platform, reported under the new AASB S2 climate-related disclosure standards, and plans to publish a Climate Transition Plan in 2026.
  • Product Mix and Sales: The product mix remained stable, with higher metallurgical coal sales in 2025 due to increased Yarrabee production and improved mix from other mines. Thermal coal average sales price was \$136/tonne, and metallurgical coal averaged \$203/tonne.
  • Sales Revenue Breakdown: Revenue from China decreased to 24% due to lower import demand, while revenue from Japan increased to 32% due to higher metallurgical coal sales.
  • Market Dynamics: Thermal and metallurgical coal indices found support during 2025, despite lower average realised prices. Market supply constraints and delayed coal demand peaks, especially in emerging economies, underpin a constructive medium-term outlook.

Financial Performance and Capital Management

  • Revenue and EBITDA: Revenue fell 13% to \$5.95 billion, and operating EBITDA dropped 44% to \$1,437 million, reflecting lower coal prices from 2024 highs.
  • Profitability: Profit after tax dropped to \$440 million (from \$1.2 billion in 2024), primarily due to lower pricing and one-off events such as tax payments.
  • Capital Expenditure: \$750 million invested in 2025, with guidance for \$750–900 million in 2026. Ongoing fleet replacement and capital development expected to maintain large-scale, low-cost production.
  • Dividend Policy: The company has paid \$2.8 billion in fully franked dividends since 2018. The dividend payout ratio remains robust at 55% of profit after tax for 2025. Ample franking credits provide additional shareholder value, especially to those outside Australia.

Strategic and Forward-Looking Developments

  • 2026 Guidance: Attributable saleable coal production is guided at 36.5–40.5Mt, with cash operating costs of \$90–98/tonne and capex of \$750–900 million.
  • Growth Projects:
    • MTW Underground Feasibility: Progressing to feasibility study in 1Q 2026, potentially extending mine life and production profile.
    • HVO Extension: Approvals process advancing, with determination expected before current extension expiry in December 2026.
    • Moolarben OC3 Extension: Amended proposal to be submitted, with a decision possible by 2Q or 3Q 2026, adding 30Mt to mine life.
    • Stratford Renewable Energy Hub: Evaluation ongoing for integration with mine closure activities.
  • Market Listings and Shareholder Structure: Included in both S&P/ASX 200 and Hang Seng Composite Index, with approximately A\$8.0 billion market capitalisation and 1.32 billion shares fully fungible between ASX and HKEX. Major shareholder Yankuang Energy holds 62.26%.

Matters Potentially Impacting Share Price

  • Potential Price Drivers:
    • Approval or delay of the HVO and Moolarben extension projects could materially affect future production outlook and valuation.
    • Continued strong cash generation and dividend payout provide downside protection and could support share price in weaker markets.
    • Any material changes in global coal prices, especially given Yancoal’s leverage to export markets, would have a direct effect on future earnings.
    • Ongoing sustainability initiatives and compliance with emerging climate reporting standards may impact investor sentiment, especially among ESG-focused funds.
    • Yancoal’s debt-free position and large cash reserves enhance strategic flexibility and could lead to further capital returns or opportunistic growth investments.
  • Risks:
    • Coal price volatility, regulatory changes (especially royalties and environmental), and potential project approval delays remain key risks that may affect future profitability and share performance.

Conclusion

Yancoal’s 2025 results demonstrate operational and financial resilience, with a strong balance sheet, world-class asset performance, and disciplined capital management. The company’s focus on cost control, strategic reinvestment, and shareholder returns, combined with progress on key growth projects, positions it well for 2026 and beyond. However, investors should closely monitor developments in project approvals, coal market dynamics, and capital allocation decisions, as these remain key price-sensitive factors.

Disclaimer

This article is for informational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice. Investors should consider their own financial circumstances and consult with their advisers before making any investment decisions. The information is based on the latest available public disclosures from Yancoal Australia Ltd as of February 2026 and may be subject to change.




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