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Thursday, January 29th, 2026

Singapore 2026 Economic Outlook: AI Boom, Low Rates & Construction Growth Defy Tariff Risks

Broker Name: Maybank Research Pte Ltd
Date of Report: December 9, 2025
Excerpt from Maybank Research Pte Ltd report.

Report Summary

  • Singapore’s GDP growth is forecasted to remain resilient at 2.8% in 2026 and 2.9% in 2027, supported by falling interest rates, a booming AI sector, and a multi-year construction upswing.
  • The AI boom is driving robust electronics exports and investments, with Singapore strengthening its position in the global AI supply chain and attracting major tech and R&D investments.
  • Construction growth is expected to accelerate to 6% in 2026, with major projects in transport, housing, integrated resorts, and climate infrastructure sustaining activity through 2030.
  • Core inflation is projected to normalize to 1.3% and headline inflation to 1.4% in 2026, with the Monetary Authority of Singapore (MAS) likely maintaining a modest appreciation stance, but may tighten policy if inflation surprises on the upside.
  • Fiscal space is ample, with strong government revenue growth and potential support measures in Budget FY2026 to address cost pressures and promote skills training.
  • Risks include possible fresh US tariffs on semiconductors and pharmaceuticals and property market cooling measures if housing prices surge excessively.
  • Financial market activity, loan growth, and retail sales are buoyant, but the F&B sector remains weak amid competition and rising costs.
  • Singapore leads ASEAN in AI and cloud spending, with rising adoption rates among businesses, boosting productivity and infocomm services.
  • Private property sales and prices are rising due to low mortgage rates, but speculative activity remains muted and government may intervene if needed.
  • Key macro indicators show stable unemployment, strong current account and fiscal balance, and falling interest rates supporting economic activity.

Above is an excerpt from a report by Maybank Research Pte Ltd. Clients of Maybank Research Pte Ltd can be the first to access the full report from the Maybank website : https://www.maybank.com/investment-banking

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