UOB Kay Hian
Date of Report: Wednesday, 24 September 2025
Keppel DC REIT Expands in Japan: Tokyo DC3 Acquisition, Growth Initiatives, and Strategic Outlook
Introduction: Keppel DC REIT Accelerates Growth with Major Tokyo Data Centre Acquisition
Keppel DC REIT (KDCREIT SP), Asia’s premier pure-play data centre REIT, is executing a transformative expansion with the acquisition of Tokyo Data Centre 3 (Tokyo DC3). Backed by robust financials and a clear growth strategy, the REIT seeks to deepen its presence in Asia-Pacific’s largest data centre hub, enhance portfolio resilience, and drive distribution growth for unitholders.
Key Transaction Highlights: Strategic Tokyo DC3 Acquisition
- Acquisition of Tokyo DC3: Five-storey, freehold hyperscale data centre in Inzai City, Greater Tokyo for JPY82.1 billion (S\$707 million).
- Accretive to DPU: Pro forma 2024 distribution per unit (DPU) is expected to rise by 2.8% post-acquisition.
- Financing Structure: Partially funded via a non-renounceable preferential offering (80 new units per 1,000 existing at S\$2.24 per unit) and JPY-denominated loans.
- Portfolio Impact: Portfolio occupancy ticks up to 95.9%, weighted average lease expiry (WALE) improves from 6.9 to 7.2 years.
- BUY Rating Maintained: Target price set at S\$2.69, representing a 12.6% potential upside.
Strategic Rationale: Strengthening Hyperscale and Geographic Diversification
- Hyperscale Tenant Focus: Tokyo DC3 is fully leased to a Fortune Global 500 hyperscaler on a 15-year contract with 2-3% annual rent escalations, ensuring visible, stable cash flows and renewal options for up to five more years.
- Inzai City Advantage: The asset is located in one of Japan’s most established data centre clusters, offering superior connectivity and low latency to central Tokyo. Built to Tier 3-equivalent specs and the latest seismic standards, it ensures operational reliability for high-value tenants.
- Japan Portfolio Expansion: With Tokyo DC3, KDCREIT now holds two assets in Japan, further diversifying its Asia-Pacific exposure and reinforcing its position in a region of accelerating digital infrastructure demand.
Acquisition Economics and Funding Structure
- Yield and Leverage: The transaction delivers a net property income (NPI) yield of 4%. Aggregate leverage post-acquisition is estimated at 34.5%, leaving debt headroom of S\$559 million (up to 40% gearing).
- Comprehensive Use of Proceeds: The S\$404.5 million preferential offering will support the Tokyo DC3 purchase (S\$229.8m), asset enhancement for SGP8 (S\$53.9m), a 30-year land lease extension for SGP1 (S\$10.7m), debt repayment (S\$104.5m), and fees/expenses (S\$5.6m).
- Sponsor Support: Keppel has irrevocably committed to subscribe for its full entitlement in the rights issue, demonstrating strong alignment and confidence.
Use of Proceeds |
Amount (S\$ million) |
% of Total |
Partially finance Tokyo DC3 |
229.8 |
56.8% |
AEI for SGP8 |
53.9 |
13.3% |
30-year land lease extension for SGP1 |
10.7 |
2.6% |
Debt repayment |
104.5 |
25.8% |
Fees and expenses |
5.6 |
1.4% |
Asset Enhancement Initiatives (AEIs): Unlocking Further Value
- SGP8 (Singapore):
- 1.5 floors of unused space offer expansion potential; S\$53.9 million will be invested to fit out half a floor for a new data hall, targeted for completion by 3Q27.
- This AEI could further lift DPU accretion to 3.4%.
- SGP1 (Singapore):
- Currently not a built-to-suit data centre; 30% of floor space is non-data centre and may be converted to revenue-generating halls.
- Occupancy dropped to 56.5% in 2Q25 after a major tenant’s departure. Management plans to re-lease the space on short-term contracts, aligning expiries for a major enhancement and AI-capable upgrade starting 2028 after all leases expire.
- Land lease extended by 30 years as of September 2025, supporting long-term value creation.
Detailed Financial Overview: Robust Growth and Resilience
Year Ending 31 Dec (S\$ million) |
2023 |
2024 |
2025F |
2026F |
2027F |
Net Turnover |
277 |
306 |
426 |
463 |
468 |
EBITDA |
208 |
214 |
300 |
331 |
334 |
Operating Profit |
208 |
214 |
300 |
331 |
334 |
Net Profit (Reported) |
114 |
296 |
252 |
254 |
257 |
Net Profit (Adjusted) |
143 |
127 |
237 |
254 |
257 |
EPU (S\$ cent) |
8.3 |
6.5 |
10.2 |
10.4 |
10.5 |
DPU (S\$ cent) |
9.4 |
9.5 |
10.4 |
10.4 |
10.5 |
PE (x) |
28.7 |
37.1 |
23.4 |
22.9 |
22.7 |
P/B (x) |
1.8 |
1.6 |
1.5 |
1.5 |
1.5 |
DPU Yield (%) |
3.9 |
4.0 |
4.4 |
4.3 |
4.4 |
Net Margin (%) |
41.3 |
96.9 |
59.3 |
54.9 |
55.0 |
Net Debt/Equity (%) |
57.6 |
41.5 |
53.9 |
52.7 |
54.8 |
Interest Cover (x) |
5.5 |
5.9 |
8.9 |
6.1 |
6.1 |
ROE (%) |
4.8 |
10.4 |
7.0 |
6.5 |
6.6 |
Company Profile: Keppel DC REIT at a Glance
- Listing: SGX, since 12 December 2014, as Asia’s first pure-play data centre REIT.
- Portfolio: Diversified income-producing real estate assets used primarily for data centre purposes across Asia-Pacific and Europe.
- Major Shareholder: Temasek Holdings (21.8%).
- Market Capitalization: S\$5,394.3 million (US\$4,205.1 million).
- Shares Issued: 2,257.0 million.
- 52-week High/Low: S\$2.44/S\$1.84.
- FY25 NAV/Share: S\$1.59.
- FY25 Net Debt/Share: S\$0.86.
Valuation and Recommendation: Positive Catalysts and Long-Term Growth Prospects
- BUY rating maintained with a target price of S\$2.69, based on a DDM model (cost of equity: 6.5%, terminal growth: 2.8%).
- STI Inclusion: KDCREIT is now part of the Straits Times Index (STI) as of 23 June 2025, enhancing its visibility and potential investor base.
- 2026 DPU Forecast Upgraded: Raised by 1.7% due to the Tokyo DC3 acquisition.
Share Price Performance
- 1-month: +3.5%
- 3-month: +3.9%
- 6-month: +10.1%
- 1-year: +10.6%
- YTD: +9.6%
Key Catalysts and Risks
- Growing demand for colocation space from AI and cloud applications.
- Potential for further hyperscale data centre acquisitions in Japan and South Korea.
- Backfilling of vacant spaces in Guangdong, China.
- Risks include execution of AEIs, tenant concentration, and foreign exchange volatility.
Tokyo DC3 Overview: Asset Details and Strategic Importance
- Purchase Consideration: JPY82.1 billion (S\$707 million) for 100% basis; KDCREIT’s effective interest is 98.47% (JPY80.8 billion/S\$696.1 million).
- Independent Valuation: JPY83.0 billion (S\$714.7 million).
- Specifications: 5-storey, Tier III-equivalent, latest seismic standards, freehold land.
- Tenant: Fortune Global 500 hyperscaler, 15-year lease with escalation and renewal options.
- Expected Completion: End 2025.
Conclusion: Keppel DC REIT Positioned for Sustainable Growth
With the Tokyo DC3 acquisition, strategic AEIs, robust financials, and support from its sponsor, Keppel DC REIT is well-positioned to capture Asia-Pacific’s surging digital infrastructure demand. The REIT’s disciplined approach to portfolio diversification, value enhancement, and prudent capital management underpins its long-term investment appeal and reinforces its standing as a leader in the data centre REIT space.