Commercial success depends on regulatory approvals, clinical trial outcomes, and market adoption
Peer comparison — valuation & operating metrics (today)
Company |
Listing |
P/E (ttm) |
P/B (mrq) |
Price/Sales (ttm) |
Mkt Cap (HKD) |
Rev. YoY |
Gross margin |
R&D / Revenue |
Net loss margin |
GenFleet-B (IPO) |
Main Bd |
N/A (pre-profit) |
4.03× (20.39/5.06) |
N/A |
~HK$7.0b (post-IPO, est.) |
+42.0% (2024 vs 2023) |
80.8% (2024) |
317% (2024) |
−647% (2024) |
Jacobio-B (1167.HK) |
Main Bd |
N/A |
8.6× |
36.3× |
~HK$8.15b |
— |
— |
— |
— |
Ascentage-B (6855.HK) |
Main Bd |
N/A |
~37–40× |
~67–70× |
~HK$12.1b |
— |
— |
— |
— |
RemeGen-B (9995.HK) |
Main Bd |
N/A |
~21–24× |
~26–28× |
— |
— |
— |
— |
— |
Kelun Biotech-B (6990.HK) |
Main Bd |
N/A |
~20–22× |
~65–69× |
~HK$11.4b |
— |
— |
— |
— |
Akeso (9926.HK) |
Main Bd |
N/A (fwd P/E quoted) |
~17–18× |
~43× |
~HK$125b |
— |
— |
— |
— |
Notes (GenFleet math): Prospectus shows unaudited pro forma NAV per share = HK$5.06 at the offer price HK$20.39 ⇒ P/B ≈ 4.03×; 2024 revenue RMB104.7m vs 2023 RMB73.7m ⇒ +42.0% YoY; 2024 gross profit RMB84.6m ⇒ 80.8% GM; 2024 R&D RMB332.1m ⇒ 317% of revenue; 2024 net loss RMB677.6m ⇒ −647% margin.
Takeaway: GenFleet lists at a far lower P/B than most 18A oncology peers (often teens–40×), which is valuation-supportive if investors buy the KRAS story.
IPOs in the same window (HK, Sep 2025)
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Dahon Tech (2543.HK) — listed 9 Sep 2025.
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GenFleet-B (2595.HK) — prospectus 11 Sep 2025, expected listing 19 Sep 2025.
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Zijin Gold International — bookbuild starts 19 Sep 2025, debut slated 29 Sep 2025 (large cap, different sector).
Sector pulse — last 10 trading days proxy
The Hang Seng Hong Kong-Listed Biotech Index (HSHKBIO) shows: 1-week −0.1%, 1-month +6.8%, 3-month +45% — i.e., short-term wobble but strong medium-term momentum into September.
Research / expert opinions (pre-listing)
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Pre-IPO valuation notes: Independent analyst work frames GenFleet via rNPV/SOTP and pegs proceeds/size in line with the filing; no public price target disclosed in open articles.
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Media/brokerage briefs: Reports cite the HK$20.39 offer, ~HK$1.44b net proceeds, and nine cornerstone investors (RTW, OrbiMed, UBS AM (SG), Vivo). This is supportive of book quality but formal sell-side coverage and price targets typically begin after listing; none publicly posted yet as of 14 Sep 2025.
Bottom line: There are no published, named analyst ratings/targets for GenFleet as of today (pre-debut).
Allotment result
Not out yet. GenFleet’s timetable shows results due Thu, 18 Sep 2025 with dealings Fri, 19 Sep 2025 — so there is no “Latest Allotment Result” today (14 Sep 2025).
First-day performance — assessment
Positives
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Valuation: P/B ~4.0× vs peers in the ~17–40× range gives room for re-rating if execution is solid.
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Cornerstones: Quality names (RTW/OrbiMed/UBS AM/Vivo) subscribing ~US$100m bolster aftermarket confidence.
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Sector tape: Biotech index has had a big 3-month run (+45%), indicating risk appetite is back, even if the past week was flat/down slightly.
Watch-outs
Call (first day)
On balance, GenFleet is likely to trade modestly above the offer on debut (supported by low relative P/B and strong cornerstones), not a blow-out pop given 18A risk and a mixed week for the sector.
Estimated first-day range: HK$21.20 – HK$23.00 (≈ +4% to +13% vs HK$20.39).
Strength: mild to moderate strength above IPO price (not “strongly” runaway).
Subscribe or skip?
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For listing pop: Subscribe (small-to-moderate) — valuation is undemanding vs 18A peers; cornerstone lineup is a plus; sector tailwinds medium-term.
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For multi-month hold: Selective — execution on KRAS G12C commercialization (royalties) and KRAS G12D/other pipeline catalysts will matter; risk remains high for pre-profit biotech.
Where to download the prospectus
Appendix — how GenFleet’s metrics were computed
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P/B: Offer HK$20.39 / NAV per share HK$5.06 = 4.03×.
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Revenue YoY: RMB104.7m (2024) vs RMB73.7m (2023) ⇒ +42.0%.
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Gross margin (2024): 84.6 / 104.7 = 80.8%.
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R&D as % revenue (2024): 332.1 / 104.7 = 317%.
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Net loss margin (2024): 677.6 / 104.7 = 647%.
Thank you