Sunday, September 14th, 2025

Pan-United Corporation (PAN SP) Stock Analysis: Growth, Dividend, and Buy Rating Amid Singapore Infrastructure Boom 12

UOB Kay Hian
Date of Report: Thursday, 11 September 2025

Pan-United Corporation: Market Leadership, Digitalisation, and Capacity Expansion Powering Sustainable Returns

Executive Summary: Solid Growth Underpinned by Integration and Innovation

Pan-United Corporation (PAN SP), Singapore’s leading ready-mix concrete (RMC) supplier, is leveraging its scale, upstream integration, and digital innovation to drive robust margin expansion and deliver sustainable returns. With a dominant market share, strong project pipeline, and strategic investments in capacity and technology, Pan-United is poised to capitalize on Singapore’s infrastructure boom and the accelerating demand for sustainable construction solutions.

Company Overview: Pan-United at the Forefront of Concrete Solutions

Pan-United Corporation is an Asian multinational specializing in high-performance, sustainable concrete products and related building materials. With approximately a 40% market share in Singapore’s RMC sector, the company is widely recognized as the partner of choice for both public and private sector developers.

Key Investment Highlights

  • Margin Resilience and Growth: 1H25 revenue rose 4.3% year-on-year to S\$401.1m, driven by higher RMC volumes. Net profit climbed 11% to S\$20.6m despite forex losses and increased depreciation. Gross margins expanded by 2.8 percentage points to 24.4%, thanks to upstream integration and operational efficiencies.
  • Digital and Operational Excellence: The AiR Digital logistics platform has been pivotal, optimizing fleet productivity and reducing idle time, thus sustaining margins even amidst rising manpower and rental costs.
  • Strong Project Pipeline: Pan-United secured S\$430m worth of ready-mix supply contracts for Changi Airport Terminal 5, spanning five years and enhancing earnings visibility. The company is involved in a variety of projects, including public housing, healthcare, mixed-use developments, and MRT expansions.
  • Capacity Expansion: Approximately S\$60m in capex is planned for 2025 for a new state-of-the-art batching plant at Jurong Port Integrated Construction Park, operational by late 2025/early 2026. This will further boost supply reliability, cost efficiency, and market entry barriers.
  • Robust Sector Outlook: Singapore’s construction sector is forecast to award S\$47b–53b in contracts in 2025, up from S\$44.2b in 2024. RMC demand is projected at 13.0m–14.5m m³, with public sector infrastructure leading growth.
  • Balance Sheet Strength: Net cash position of S\$69.8m as of 1H25 supports expansion and dividend growth. Interim dividend for 1H25 was raised by 43% to 1.0 S cent/share.

Financial Performance and Forecasts

Year to 31 Dec (S\$m) 2023 2024 2025F 2026F 2027F
Net turnover 774 812 872 955 1,038
EBITDA 66 73 80 90 97
Operating profit 43 49 56 65 73
Net profit (rep./act.) 36 41 48 55 61
EPS (S cents) 5.1 5.9 6.8 7.8 8.8
PE (x) 23.1 20.2 17.2 15.0 13.4
P/B (x) 3.5 3.1 2.9 2.6 2.4
EV/EBITDA (x) 11.4 10.2 9.3 8.3 7.7
Dividend yield (%) 1.9 2.5 3.2 3.8 4.4
Net margin (%) 4.6 5.0 5.5 5.7 5.9
Net debt/(cash) to equity (%) (18.6) (34.5) (29.0) (33.2) (40.8)
ROE (%) 16.1 16.4 17.3 18.3 18.9

Share Price and Market Performance

  • Current Share Price: S\$1.18
  • Target Price: S\$1.33 (25% increase from previous S\$1.06)
  • Potential Upside: +12.7%
  • 52-week High/Low: S\$1.24 / S\$0.505
  • Market Cap: S\$823.7m (US\$641.9m)
  • 3-month Avg Daily Turnover: US\$0.7m
  • FY25 NAV/Share: S\$0.41
  • FY25 Net Cash/Share: S\$0.12
  • Price Performance (as of report):
    • 1 month: +10.3%
    • 3 months: +51.3%
    • 6 months: +88.8%
    • 1 year: +131.4%
    • YTD: +112.6%

Industry and Market Outlook

  • Singapore’s construction sector is forecast to award S\$47b–53b in contracts for 2025 (up from S\$44.2b in 2024).
  • RMC demand projected at 13.0m–14.5m m³, stable to moderately higher (3–8% YoY growth).
  • Public sector infrastructure now accounts for about 60% of total demand, led by large projects like Changi T5, MRT lines, healthcare campuses, and an accelerated housing programme.

Balance Sheet, Cash Flow, and Dividend Policy

  • Net Cash Position: S\$69.8m (1H25)
  • 1H25 Interim Dividend: 1.0 S cent/share (+43% YoY)
  • Dividend Yield (2025F): 3.2%
  • Strong cash generation and low gearing provide ample capacity for both expansion and shareholder returns.

Detailed Financials: Profit & Loss, Balance Sheet, and Cash Flow

Metric 2024 2025F 2026F 2027F
Net turnover (S\$m) 812.3 871.9 955.2 1,038.4
EBITDA (S\$m) 72.9 80.2 89.7 97.5
EBIT (S\$m) 48.7 55.7 64.5 72.6
Pre-tax profit (S\$m) 51.3 59.4 68.1 76.2
Net profit (S\$m) 40.9 47.8 54.8 61.4
Operating cash flow (S\$m) 88.0 55.5 81.7 92.6
Capex (growth, S\$m) 18.6 37.6 30.7 22.7
Dividend payments (S\$m) 17.9 26.0 31.2 35.7
Ending cash & cash eq. (S\$m) 107.0 98.9 118.7 152.9

Key Metrics and Ratios

  • EBITDA Margin (2025F): 9.2%
  • Pre-tax Margin (2025F): 6.8%
  • Net Margin (2025F): 5.5%
  • ROA (2025F): 9.5%
  • ROE (2025F): 17.3%
  • Debt to Equity (2025F): 5.4%
  • Net Debt/(Cash) to Equity (2025F): (29.0)%
  • Interest Cover (2025F): 28.7x

Peer Comparison

Company Ticker Price (Local) Market Cap (US\$m) PE 2025F (x) PE 2026F (x) EV/EBITDA 2025F (x) EV/EBITDA 2026F (x) Yield 2025F (%) ROE 2025F (%) Net Gearing (%)
Engro EGCL SP 0.90 83 n.a. n.a. n.a. n.a. n.a. n.a. (14.6)
International Cement ICG SP 0.05 215 n.a. n.a. n.a. n.a. n.a. n.a. 1.5
Hong Leong Asia HLA SP 2.40 1,399 15.3 13.6 7.3 6.7 1.8 11.3 (29.0)
Ytl Corp YTL MK 2.61 7,077 15.4 16.3 8.9 7.2 1.9 11.0 130.7
Malayan Cement LMC MK 6.00 1,950 12.0 13.5 7.4 7.8 0.8 10.2 27.7
Cahya Mata Sarawak CMS MK 1.21 308 9.0 8.1 n.a. n.a. 2.5 4.3 (7.9)
Chin Hin CHIN MK 2.2 1,878 n.a. n.a. n.a. n.a. n.a. n.a. 66.9
Siam Cement SCC TB 226.0 8,528 18.9 21.7 13.4 12.0 2.3 3.8 67.1
Eugene Corp 023410 KS 3500.0 195 n.a. n.a. n.a. n.a. n.a. n.a. 77.0
Peer Average 14.1 14.6 9.3 8.4 1.9 8.1 35.5
Pan-United PAN SP 1.18 642 16.6 14.0 8.8 7.6 3.1 18.0 (11.2)

Valuation and Recommendation

  • BUY rating maintained with a higher target price of S\$1.33 (from S\$1.06), reflecting a roll-forward to 2026 earnings and a 17x 2026F PE — a 16% premium to regional peer average.
  • This premium is justified by Pan-United’s superior profitability, dominant market share, and resilient margins—demonstrated by an ROE of 18%.
  • The stock trades at 14x 2026F PE, offering further upside as it rides Singapore’s infrastructure upcycle and leads in low-carbon concrete innovation.

Earnings Revisions and Risks

  • 2025/26/27 earnings forecasts were trimmed by 10%/11%/16% respectively due to refined margin assumptions.
  • Potential share price catalysts include:
    • Earnings-accretive acquisitions
    • More infrastructure projects awarded than expected
    • Higher-than-anticipated dividends

Conclusion: Poised for Sustainable, Long-Term Growth

Pan-United’s integration, digitalisation, and capacity expansion create a powerful platform for value creation, supporting industry-leading margins, robust cash generation, and attractive shareholder returns. With strong project visibility, a healthy balance sheet, and clear sector tailwinds, Pan-United remains a compelling investment in Singapore’s infrastructure and building materials space.

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