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Sembcorp Industries Ltd: Bullish Trend Resumes with Strong Technical Buy Signals – Singapore Retail Research June 2025

Broker: CGS International
Date of Report: June 9, 2025

Sembcorp Industries Surges as Bullish Momentum Returns: Key Trends in Singapore and Asian Markets

Market Overview: Renewed Optimism in Asia’s Equities

Asia’s equities are attracting renewed interest from global investors, driven by evolving government policies and improving corporate governance. South Korea, in particular, has seen a profound shift in sentiment, with international fund managers becoming increasingly bullish as the new president implements shareholder-friendly reforms. Singapore’s market, meanwhile, continues to present technical opportunities, notably with Sembcorp Industries. The report also provides a comprehensive update on NIO Inc, highlighting competitive pressures and profitability headwinds.

South Korea: Policy Reforms Ignite Stock Market Euphoria

For years, South Korea’s stock market underperformed, weighed down by governance concerns and political instability. However, the ascension of President Lee Jae-myung, who has pledged to overhaul corporate governance and nearly double market returns, has triggered a sharp shift in investor sentiment. Notable global asset managers—including Aberdeen Investments, Pictet Wealth Management, and Franklin Templeton—have increased their exposure to Korean equities. Lee’s reform agenda, reminiscent of Japan’s successful shareholder-value drive, has already pushed the Kospi Index into a bull market.

  • Foreign investors are returning, boosting the Kospi Index to bull market territory.
  • Government and corporate efforts are expected to strengthen trust in Korea’s capital markets and foster a culture of shareholder value.
  • Early signs of change have led major funds, such as Aberdeen’s \$1.2 billion Asian ex-Japan fund, to turn overweight on Korean stocks as of May 2025.

NIO Inc (HKG): Competitive Pressures Challenge Profitability

NIO Inc., a key player in the electric vehicle (EV) sector, reported widening losses in the first quarter of 2025, reflecting the intense competition within the industry. Despite a promising product pipeline under the NIO, ONVO, and Firefly brands, operational expenses have surged, pressuring margins and profitability.

  • Non-GAAP net loss for 1Q25 expanded to RMB 6.3 billion, compared to RMB 4.9 billion in 1Q24.
  • Operational expenditure increased, driven by investments in product development and marketing.
  • The company’s robust pipeline is expected to support sales, but shipment growth may be tempered by competitive dynamics.
  • Recommendation: Hold, with a revised discounted cash flow-based target price of HK\$30.62.

Sembcorp Industries Ltd (SGX: U96): Technical Buy on Bullish Continuation

Sembcorp Industries Ltd, a leading provider of utilities and integrated industrial site services, has re-emerged as a technical buy following a strong price rebound and robust technical indicators. The company delivers power, gas, steam, water, wastewater treatment, and other on-site services to industrial parks, businesses, commercial, and residential spaces.

Technical Snapshot and Trade Recommendations

Entry Price(s) 6.85, 6.50, 6.18
Support 1 6.22
Support 2 5.68
Stop Loss 5.70
Resistance 1 7.00
Resistance 2 7.90
Target Price 1 7.30
Target Price 2 7.75
Target Price 3 8.48
Target Price 4 9.00

Key Technical Observations

  • The uptrend channel has been strong and intact since August 2024.
  • A strong bullish breakout signals a continuation of the positive trend.
  • Ichimoku indicator displays three bullish golden crosses.
  • MACD and signal line remain above the zero line; histogram is positive.
  • Stochastic Oscillator continues to rise, indicating momentum.
  • The 23-period Rate of Change (ROC) rebounded above zero.
  • Directional Movement Index confirms bullish strength.
  • Volume is expanding healthily, supporting the price move.

Despite being previously stopped out at S\$5.72 (as per the April 3, 2025, report), Sembcorp Industries rebounded strongly, justifying its re-addition as a technical buy.

Disclosures and Important Notices

This research report is prepared by CGS International and is intended strictly for professional and institutional investors. The company, its affiliates, and related parties may have interests in the securities mentioned. The report does not constitute an offer or solicitation to buy or sell any financial instruments and is for informational purposes only. Investors should conduct their own due diligence and consult with professional advisors before making investment decisions.

Recommendation Framework and Ratings Distribution

Stock Ratings Definition
Add Total return expected to exceed 10% over the next 12 months
Hold Total return expected to be between 0% and +10% over the next 12 months
Reduce Total return expected to be below 0% over the next 12 months

Rating Coverage (%) Investment Banking Clients (%)
Add 71.0 1.3
Hold 20.9 0.7
Reduce 8.2 0.4

Coverage data as of March 31, 2025, with 551 companies under analysis.

Conclusion: Opportunities and Risks Across Asian Markets

Asian equities are re-entering the spotlight as reforms and technical signals present new opportunities. South Korea’s governance overhaul is driving a bull market, while Sembcorp Industries’ technical setup signals further upside potential for Singapore investors. Meanwhile, NIO’s story highlights the challenges of scaling profitability amid fierce EV competition. Investors should remain vigilant, conduct thorough analysis, and stay attuned to evolving market and regulatory conditions in the region.

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text Download Copy code 1Okay, here’s an attempt to create an SEO title and answer potential user questions based on the provided document: 2 3**SEO title:** 4SEO title: SATS Ltd (SATS SP): Embedded Resilience & FY26F Outlook – CGS International Analysis 5 6**Analysis based on the document:** 7 8Based on the document provided, here’s a summary of key points and potential user questions with answers: 9 10**Key Points:** 11 12* **Company:** SATS Ltd (SATS SP) 13* **Recommendation:** Reiterate Add 14* **Analyst:** TAY Wee Kuang and LIM Siew Khee, CGS International 15* **Key Themes:** Embedded resilience, cargo market share gains, FY26F outlook 16* **Target Price:** S\$3.60 17* **ESG:** Rated B- by LSEG 18 19**Potential User Questions & Answers:** 20 21**Q: What is the overall recommendation for SATS Ltd?** 22A: CGS International reiterates an “Add” recommendation for SATS Ltd. [[1]] 23 24**Q: What is the target price for SATS Ltd, and who set it?** 25A: The target price is S\$3.60, set by CGS International. [[1]] 26 27**Q: What is the basis for the target price?** 28A: The target price is DCF-based (Discounted Cash Flow), with a WACC of 12.2%. [[1]] 29 30**Q: What are the key factors driving the “Add” recommendation?** 31A: The key factor is SATS’s growing market share in cargo handling, which is expected to support earnings growth in FY26F, even with potential global cargo demand weakness. [[1]] 32 33**Q: What is SATS’s ESG rating?** 34A: SATS has an ESG combined score of B- by LSEG. [[1, 5]] 35 36**Q: What were SATS’s 4QFY3/25 financial results?** 37A: SATS reported a 4QFY3/25 net profit of S\$38.7m (+18.3% yoy). Revenue was S\$1.48bn (+10.4% yoy). [[1]] 38 39**Q: What are the potential risks to SATS’s performance?** 40A: Downside risks include margin compression from weaker operating leverage due to softening cargo volumes and a decline in the aviation travel industry due to an economic downturn. [[1]] 41 42**Q: What is the dividend payout?** 43A: SATS declared a final DPS of 3.5 Scts, bringing FY25 total DPS to 5.0 Scts, representing a payout ratio of 30.6%. [[1]] 44 45**Q: What is the earnings growth outlook?** 46A: The report anticipates a 3-year earnings CAGR of 15.0%. [[1]] 47 48**Q: Has the analyst revised earnings estimates?** 49A: Yes, FY26F-27F EPS estimates have been increased by 7.9-8.5%. FY28F estimates are introduced. [[1]] 50 51**Q: What are the catalysts for a potential re-rating?** 52A: Potential re-rating catalysts include an expanded footprint for cargo operations supporting new contract wins and a faster step-up in utilization of its new central kitchens across China and India. [[1]] 53 54**Q: What is SATS’s market capitalization?** 55A: The market cap is US\$3,444m / S\$4,428m. [[1]] 56 57**Q: Who are the major shareholders of SATS?** 58A: Temasek Holdings is a major shareholder, holding 40.4%. [[1]] 59 60**Q: What is SATS’s revenue in Mar-25A?** 61A: SATS’s revenue in Mar-25A is S\$5,821 million. [[1]] 62 63**Q: What are the peers of SATS?** 64A: Airports of Thailand is a peer. [[4]] 65 66**Q: What is the forecast dividend yield for Mar-26F?** 67A: The forecast dividend yield for Mar-26F is 1.85%. [[1]]

CGS International May 26, 2025 SATS Ltd: Embedded Resilience to Tide Through FY26F Key Takeaways from SATS Ltd’s 4QFY3/25 Performance SATS Ltd reported a 4QFY3/25 net profit of S\$38.7m, which is an 18.3% year-over-year...

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