U.S. stocks staged a strong rebound after the previous day’s sharp sell-off triggered by the Federal Reserve’s decision to keep interest rates unchanged. The Nasdaq Composite surged 2.8% to 25,122.18, snapping a six-day losing streak, while the S&P 500 gained 1.7% to 7,437.63 and the Dow Jones Industrial Average rose 613.92 points (1.2%) to 52,208.06. The recovery was driven mainly by technology stocks, particularly Microsoft and semiconductor companies.
Microsoft jumped 16% after reporting stronger-than-expected results, with quarterly revenue of US$90.01 billion, Azure cloud revenue growing 43%, and Azure surpassing US$100 billion in annual revenue for the first time. The company also reaffirmed aggressive AI infrastructure spending, with expected 2026 capital expenditure of about US$175 billion. Chip stocks rallied alongside Microsoft, with the semiconductor ETF gaining over 8%, Micron up 18%, AMD up more than 13%, and SK Hynix rising over 17%. UBS also initiated coverage on SK Hynix with a US$204 price target, implying 61% upside, citing accelerating AI-driven memory demand.
In contrast, Meta fell 8–9% after disappointing investors with a weaker revenue outlook and a 91% decline in second-quarter free cash flow, highlighting concerns that its heavy AI spending is eroding profitability. Analysts described the divergence between Microsoft and Meta as two different AI investment strategies—one successfully converting investment into profits, while the other is seeing costs weigh on earnings.
Economic data remained mixed. U.S. second-quarter GDP grew 1.5%, below the expected 1.8%, while annual PCE inflation held at 3.7% and core PCE at 3.3%. Initial jobless claims rose to 197,000. Treasury yields stayed elevated, with the 30-year yield above 5.2%, close to its highest level since 2007, reflecting continued concerns that inflation may keep interest rates higher for longer.
Elsewhere, former OpenAI researcher Leopold Aschenbrenner’s hedge fund Situational Awareness, which reportedly managed as much as US$45 billion, was forced to unwind its public stock positions after large losses on leveraged AI-related trades. JPMorgan believes much of the deleveraging in technology and semiconductor stocks has now been completed, reducing the likelihood of further forced selling and potentially providing support for the sector.
U.S. stock futures edged higher after Wall Street’s strong rebound, supported by robust technology earnings that reinforced confidence in AI spending. Nasdaq 100 futures rose 0.4%, while S&P 500 futures gained 0.1% and Dow futures were little changed. Amazon climbed more than 9% in after-hours trading after beating second-quarter revenue expectations, driven by its cloud business. Apple also exceeded revenue forecasts, boosted by a 22% increase in iPhone sales, although its shares fell 3% due to weaker-than-expected services revenue.
The rally followed Microsoft’s 16% surge after strong Azure cloud growth, lifting AI-related semiconductor stocks, with the iShares Semiconductor ETF (SOXX) gaining more than 8%. This marked a sharp turnaround from Wednesday’s sell-off, when the Dow plunged over 1,100 points after the Federal Reserve kept interest rates unchanged. Treasury yields remained elevated, with the 30-year yield above 5.2%, near its highest level since 2007, as investors reassessed expectations for future rate cuts.
Despite the volatile week, major U.S. indices remained on track for weekly gains, with the Dow up 0.5%, the S&P 500 up 0.4%, and the Nasdaq up 0.6% heading into Friday.
After-hours, Coinbase fell more than 5% after reporting its third consecutive quarterly loss, while Reddit dropped over 7% on concerns about Google search traffic. Rivian rose nearly 2% after lowering spending plans, and First Solar gained more than 3% following better-than-expected earnings.
Investor sentiment remained cautious, with 42.1% of individual investors bearish for the 25th consecutive week, well above the historical average of 31.0%. Bullish sentiment stood at 31.0%, still below the long-term average of 37.5%, reflecting continued skepticism despite the market recovery.
Energy refiners continued to outperform as strong refining margins boosted profits. PBF Energy, whose shares have surged 170% in 2026, reported earnings of US$6.22 per share, far exceeding estimates of US$4.15, while revenue reached US$11.7 billion versus the expected US$9.6 billion. Several refiners, including PBF Energy, Delek US Holdings, Par Pacific Holdings and HF Sinclair, closed at all-time highs.
