Broker: UOB Kay Hian
Date of Report: 22 April 2026
Excerpt from UOB Kay Hian report.
Report Summary
- Stock: Tencent Holdings (700 HK)
- Action: BUY (Maintained)
- Target Price: HK\$728.00 (lowered from HK\$757.00)
- Upside: +40.3% from current price of HK\$519.00
- Most Important Ideas:
- Tencent’s 1Q26 results (to be reported 13 May) expected to show resilient 11% YoY revenue growth, supported by strong gaming (notably new launches like Roco Kingdom and Honor of Kings: World) and steady advertising, despite macro headwinds.
- Cloud revenue forecast to grow 25% YoY, driven by domestic demand and AI agent rollouts. However, increased AI investment is likely to pressure margins, with non-GAAP net profit trimmed by 3-4% due to a doubling in AI spend.
- Tencent is launching Hunyuan 3.0, advancing a full-stack AI agent ecosystem (consumer, enterprise, developer), embedding AI agents into WeChat and QQ, and supporting both consumer and enterprise (To-C, To-B) commercialisation.
- Key risks include regulatory issues and potential slowdown in gaming revenue.
- Share price catalysts: roll-out and traction of Hunyuan 3.0, progress of AI agents in WeChat, new game launches and monetisation.
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