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Monday, April 20th, 2026

Global Chocolate Stocks Outlook: Mondelez Favored Over Delfi as Cocoa Prices Plunge – DBS Insights 123

Broker: DBS

Date of Report: 20 April 2026

Excerpt from DBS report.

Report Summary

  • Actionable Call: Favour Mondelez over Delfi in the global chocolate sector.
  • Main Idea: Cocoa prices have fallen sharply from 2024 peaks, improving margin outlook for chocolate makers. Earnings benefits from lower cocoa prices are expected to become more meaningful in FY27 as higher-cost inventory is drawn down.
  • Key Highlights:
    • DBS prefers Mondelez for its diversified global earnings base and stronger pricing power.
    • Delfi’s valuation appears stretched (14.4x FY27 earnings, above its historical average of 11.4x) with earnings growth likely constrained by delayed cocoa cost relief and weaker Indonesian consumer confidence.
    • Mondelez has a more attractive profile with a FY27F PE of 17.1x and significantly larger market cap.
  • Implications: Investors are advised to raise exposure to Mondelez and reduce exposure to Delfi given current sector dynamics and valuation considerations.

above is an excerpt from a report by DBS. Clients of DBS can be the first to access the full report from the DBS website : https://www.dbs.com/insightsdirect/

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