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Sunday, July 26th, 2026

Frencken Group (FRKN SP) 2026 Outlook: Earnings Growth, Semicon Recovery & Investment Risks Explained

Broker Name: CGS International

Date of Report: March 2, 2026

Excerpt from CGS International report.

Report Summary

  • Frencken Group’s FY25 revenue and net profit slightly surpassed expectations, mainly driven by strong semiconductor segment performance and stable margins.
  • Management expects 1H26 net profit to rise year-on-year, but 1Q26 revenue will be lower due to inventory adjustments at a key European customer; restructuring and alignment costs are anticipated for FY26.
  • The report downgrades Frencken to Hold as current share price optimism reflects anticipated semiconductor recovery in 2H26; target price is raised to S\$2.09.
  • Despite 8-10% earnings growth outlook and benefit from Singapore’s Equity Market Development Programme, further price upside is seen as limited; UMS Integration is preferred for a clearer earnings outlook.
  • Key risks include customer concentration, potential cost escalation, and weakening semiconductor demand; net gearing is negative, and dividend yield is modest at under 2%.
  • ESG improvements are noted, with better scores for environmental, social, and governance pillars, and no workplace injuries reported in 2024.
  • Peer comparison shows Frencken’s valuation in line with sector averages, but with less upside versus some peers.
  • Financials indicate steady revenue and profit growth projected through FY28, with continued focus on organisational alignment and efficiency upgrades.

Above is an excerpt from a report by CGS International. Clients of CGS International can be the first to access the full report from the CGS International website: https://www.cgs-cimb.com

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