Sunday, September 14th, 2025

US Stocks Hit Record Highs as Softer Inflation Data Fuels Rate Cut Hopes; Oracle Surges, Asia Tech Markets Rally 1

OCBC Investment Research
Date of Report: 11 September 2025
US Rally Resumes: Oracle, AI Stocks Propel Markets Higher as Inflation Cools; Asia Tech Soars, Singapore Equities Surge

Global Market Pulse: Record Highs Driven by Tech Surge and Cooling Inflation

Global equity markets roared to new heights as optimism over AI, robust tech earnings, and surprisingly soft inflation data fueled investor risk appetite. The S&P 500 and Nasdaq notched record closes, while Asia Pacific indices surged to their highest levels in years. Investors are now positioning for potential rate cuts from the Federal Reserve, with inflation and labor market data tilting market sentiment toward an easing cycle.

United States: Oracle Leads AI-Fueled Rally as Inflation Eases

The US equity landscape was dominated by a historic surge in Oracle shares, which soared 36%—the company’s largest one-day gain since 1992. This move reflected exceptional demand from AI companies for Oracle’s cloud services, propelling its market cap to \$922 billion, just behind Tesla and leapfrogging JPMorgan Chase. While Oracle powered the S&P 500 and Nasdaq to record highs, a sharp decline in Apple shares weighed heavily on the Dow Jones Industrial Average, which does not include Oracle among its constituents.

  • Softer-than-expected Producer Price Index (PPI): Wholesale prices fell 0.1% in August, and core PPI also declined by 0.1%—both surprising markets that expected a 0.3% increase. This marked the first drop since April and, together with subdued jobs data, reinforced expectations for aggressive interest rate cuts. Treasury yields fell, with the 10-year note dipping to 4.031%.
  • Gold soared to a new record: Gold futures closed at \$3,643.60 per troy ounce on rate-cut expectations and geopolitical tensions.
  • Sector performance: Out of the S&P 500’s 11 sectors, six declined, led by consumer discretionary (-1.58%) and consumer staples (-1.06%). AI-related stocks, however, delivered the strongest gains, lifting the S&P 500 by 0.3% to its 23rd record high this year.
  • Market breadth: More stocks declined than advanced on the S&P 500, highlighting selectivity in the rally.
  • Outlook: Analysts remain bullish, with S&P 500 targets as high as 6,700 by year-end and 7,300 by end-2026, though valuations remain elevated.
Index Close Change % Change
S&P 500 6,532.0 19.4 0.3%
Dow Jones Industrial Average 45,490.9 -220.4 -0.5%
Nasdaq Composite 21,886.1 6.6 0.0%

Asia Pacific: Technology Powers Multi-Year Highs

Asian equities mirrored Wall Street’s exuberance. The MSCI Asia Pacific Index surged 1.1% to levels last seen in February 2021, with tech-driven markets in South Korea and Taiwan hitting fresh record highs. Oracle’s strong cloud business outlook further boosted regional tech sentiment.

  • Hong Kong and Singapore: Both markets advanced over 1%. Chinese shares underperformed after a military parade and a robust August rally dampened sentiment.
Index Close Change % Change
Nikkei 225 43,837.7 378.4 0.9%
Hang Seng Index 26,200.3 262.1 1.0%
KOSPI (South Korea) 3,314.5 54.5 1.7%
TWSE (Taiwan) 25,192.6 337.4 1.4%

Singapore Market Overview: Straits Times Index Shines

Singapore’s Straits Times Index (STI) climbed 1.1% to 4,346.5, near its 52-week high. Financials led the charge, with the FTSE ST Financials index up 1.8%. However, real estate and REITs slightly underperformed. Market turnover increased by almost 20%, while volume fell by 5.5%, reflecting a rotation toward higher-value trades.

Index/Sector Close Net Change % Change
Straits Times Index 4,346.5 48.9 1.1%
FTSE ST Financials 1,722.8 30.9 1.8%
FTSE ST REITs 700.4 -1.7 -0.2%
FTSE ST Real Estate 705.9 -2.5 -0.4%

Gainers/Losers: 301 stocks advanced, while 250 declined. The STI’s 52-week range stood at 3,372.4 to 4,355.8.

Singapore Dollar, Commodities, and FX Snapshot

Asset Close % Change
USDSGD 1.2825 0.0%
Gold (USD/oz.) 3,640.8 0.4%
Silver (USD/oz.) 41.17 0.7%
WTI Crude (USD/bbl.) 63.67 1.7%
Brent (USD/bbl.) 67.49 1.7%

Latest Research Highlights: Company and Sector Updates

A comprehensive suite of research insights covers major companies across Hong Kong, China, and Singapore. Below is a summary of recent ratings and target prices for top stocks:

Report Date Market Stock Title Rating Fair Value
9 Sep 2025 HK/CH Zijin Mining Group Positive price and volume growth outlook BUY HKD 39.50 / CNY 34.30
5 Sep 2025 HK/CH WuXi AppTec Lifting FY25 guidance BUY HKD 164.40 / CNY 157.30
2 Sep 2025 HK/CH Agricultural Bank of China PATMI growth outperformed major peers BUY/SELL HKD 5.85 / CNY 6.35
1 Sep 2025 HK/CH Bank of China Stable set of results BUY HKD 5.60 / CNY 6.30
29 Aug 2025 SG Info-Tech Systems Ltd Debit cloud revolution, credit HR meets cutting-edge technology BUY SGD 1.00
29 Aug 2025 SG ST Engineering Ltd A differentiated play BUY SGD 8.90
29 Aug 2025 SG Singapore REITs Reaching an inflection point on growth
26 Aug 2025 HK China Tower Corporation Enhancing shareholder returns BUY HKD 14.50
25 Aug 2025 SG Hong Leong Asia Ltd Powering ahead: Constructing cities of the future BUY SGD 3.10
22 Aug 2025 SG Singapore Post Transition period HOLD SGD 0.495
21 Aug 2025 HK/CH CITIC Securities Beneficiary of robust capital market activities HOLD/BUY HKD 31.15 / CNY 42.40
21 Aug 2025 SG SATS Ltd Soldier on BUY SGD 3.73
20 Aug 2025 HK/CH Jiangxi Copper Co Ltd Smelting could benefit from “anti-involution” BUY HKD 25.90 / CNY 31.00
19 Aug 2025 SG China Aviation Oil Fly me to the moon BUY SGD 1.50
15 Aug 2025 SG Golden Agri-Resources Momentum could weaken in 2H25 HOLD SGD 0.27
15 Aug 2025 SG ST Engineering Ltd Strong order book momentum HOLD SGD 8.90
14 Aug 2025 SG ComfortDelGro Corporation A smooth ride BUY SGD 1.75
14 Aug 2025 SG Nanofilm Technologies International Ltd Returning to profitability HOLD SGD 0.72
14 Aug 2025 SG UOL Group Ltd Disciplined approach to growth BUY SGD 8.65
14 Aug 2025 SG Wilmar International Mixed 2H25 outlook, but China offers support BUY SGD 3.54

Singapore STI Stocks: Market Capitalisation and Valuation Snapshot

Below is a detailed table of STI constituents, ranked by market capitalisation, with key financial metrics and recommendations. This offers investors a comprehensive view of Singapore’s blue-chip landscape.

Code Company Price (SGD/USD) Mkt Cap (US\$m) Beta Div Yield (Hist/F1 %) P/E Ratio (Hist/F1/F2) Recommendation (Buy/Hold/Sell/Total)
DBS SP DBS Group Holdings Ltd 52.73 116,658 1.2 5.0 / 5.7 13 / 14 / 13 11 / 7 / 1 / 19
OCBC SP Oversea-Chinese Banking Corp Ltd 16.85 59,056 1.0 4.9 / 5.8 10 / 11 / 10 4 / 14 / 1 / 19
ST SP Singapore Telecommunications Ltd 4.35 56,004 0.8 4.3 / 4.3 18 / 25 / 22 17 / 0 / 1 / 18
UOB SP United Overseas Bank Ltd 35.48 45,875 1.1 5.0 / 5.8 10 / 10 / 10 7 / 9 / 2 / 18
STE SP Singapore Technologies Engineering Ltd 8.01 19,478 0.9 2.1 / 2.3 32 / 28 / 26 5 / 10 / 2 / 17

Conclusion: Optimism Remains but Eyes on Valuation and Policy Shifts

Global equity markets are enjoying a potent mix of technology-driven momentum and supportive macro trends. With inflation showing signs of cooling and monetary easing on the horizon, bullish sentiment prevails. However, investors should remain mindful of elevated valuations and sector divergences, particularly as policy and geopolitical risks remain in play. The Singapore market, with its robust financials and select sectoral opportunities, stands out as a resilient and attractive destination for capital.

OCBC Investment Research’s comprehensive coverage provides timely insights and actionable recommendations for navigating these dynamic markets.

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