Monday, July 28th, 2025

Elite UK REIT 2025: Resilient Income, Growth from PBSA, and 8.6% Dividend Yield – In-Depth Analysis and Target Price Upgrade

Broker: CGS International
Date of Report: July 23, 2025

Elite UK REIT: Unlocking Value through Resilient Income, Asset Repositioning, and ESG Leadership

Introduction: Elite UK REIT’s Enduring Value Proposition

Elite UK REIT stands out as a Singapore-listed SREIT with a dedicated focus on UK properties. Its defensive cashflow, underpinned by sovereign-rated government tenants, strategic asset repositioning, and robust ESG credentials, make it a standout in the REIT landscape. With recent site visits to key Scottish assets and a thorough review of recent financials and portfolio initiatives, this report provides a comprehensive analysis of the REIT’s prospects, operations, and sector positioning.

Key Highlights and Investment Thesis

  • Income Resilience: Elite’s properties enjoy high occupancy and footfall, especially from government-backed tenants like the Department for Work and Pensions (DWP), which accounts for 93.4% of FY24 gross rental income.
  • DPU Upgrades: FY25-27 distributable income per unit (DPU) has been raised by 1.26-3.07% following acquisitions and robust 1H25 performance, with projections now at 2.98-3.04 pence.
  • Attractive Yields: FY25F dividend yield is an appealing 8.6% with a 95% payout ratio, translating to an estimated total return of approximately 19%.
  • ESG Commitment: Elite aligns with UK climate ambitions, targeting net zero by 2050 and aiming for high EPC ratings across its portfolio by 2030.

Portfolio Review: Scotland Assets and Value Creation Opportunities

During recent ground checks in Scotland, Elite’s assets in Edinburgh, Falkirk, Dundee, and Glasgow demonstrated strong operational stability and value-creation potential. Scotland comprises 16.7% of portfolio AUM and 10.1% of total gross rental income as of 1Q25.
Key asset observations:

  • Heron House, Falkirk: Tenanted by DWP as a Jobcentre Plus, this 25,454 sqft property is well-occupied and sees high footfall. Lease expiry in 2028 is expected to result in recontracting.
  • Parklands, Falkirk: Located in Callendar Business Park and also leased to DWP, this property maintains high physical occupancy despite flexible work arrangements. It was valued at £6.19m, generating £0.79m annual rental income in 2024.
  • Northgate (Glasgow Benefits Centre): Located near Glasgow universities, this 137,287 sqft property is majority-leased to DWP and HM Passport Office, valued at £22.82m and generating £2.24m annual rent. With lease expiry in 2028, repurposing into student accommodation is a future possibility.
  • Lindsay House, Dundee: Currently vacant, this asset is slated for conversion into a 168-bed purpose-built student accommodation (PBSA) by AY2027. The conversion reuses the existing structure, reducing costs and time to market. Dundee’s student market is undersupplied, with a 4.2x student-to-bed ratio, positioning Elite to benefit from this redevelopment. Management estimates a NAV boost of £2.2m (0.36 pence/unit) from the project.

Potential Acquisitions from Sponsor

Elite is evaluating acquisitions from its sponsor to further diversify its tenant exposure:

  • Queensway House, East Kilbride: A 217,674 sqft campus-style facility fully leased to HM Revenue and Customs, with ancillary amenities and a lease expiry profile of 6.3 years. The space is currently under-utilised, housing 1,760 employees.
  • 150 Broomielaw, Glasgow: A modern 96,759 sqft Grade A office building in the Glasgow financial district, fully let to Scottish Enterprise and occupied by Scottish Ministers. Lease expiry is 5.4 years from now.

Financial Performance and Key Metrics

Elite UK REIT’s financials reflect stability and growth potential. The REIT declared an advance distribution of 1.43 pence per unit for Jan 1 – Jun 18, 2025, implying a 1H25 DPU of 1.53 pence (52% of FY25 forecast). This led to raised FY25-27F DPU forecasts.

Elite UK REIT Financial Summary
Dec-23A Dec-24A Dec-25F Dec-26F Dec-27F
Gross Property Revenue (£m) 37.64 36.47 37.95 38.28 38.51
Net Property Income (£m) 33.80 33.74 36.01 36.56 36.96
Net Profit (£m) (29.74) 17.89 17.64 18.28 18.48
Distributable Profit (£m) 16.24 16.82 17.91 18.30 18.49
Core EPS (£) (0.059) 0.032 0.030 0.030 0.030
DPS (£) 0.031 0.029 0.030 0.030 0.030
Dividend Yield 8.90% 8.32% 8.64% 8.73% 8.82%
Asset Leverage 49.6% 41.6% 40.5% 41.3% 41.5%
BVPS (£) 0.39 0.41 0.42 0.42 0.42
P/BV (x) 0.89 0.85 0.81 0.82 0.81
Recurring ROE (13.1%) 8.0% 7.1% 7.2% 7.2%

Key changes in this report:

  • FY25F DPU increased by 1.26%
  • FY26F DPU increased by 2.49%
  • FY27F DPU increased by 3.07%

Peer Comparison: SREIT Sector Performance

Elite UK REIT is benchmarked against a diverse range of SREITs across hospitality, industrial, office, retail, overseas-centric, and healthcare segments. The table below summarizes key statistics:

SREIT Peer Comparison
REIT Ticker Price (LC) Target Price (LC) Mkt Cap (US\$m) Asset Leverage P/BV Dividend Yield FY25F Dividend Yield FY26F Dividend Yield FY27F
CapitaLand Ascott Trust CLAS SP 0.90 1.13 2,684 39.9% 1.15 6.8% 7.0% 7.1%
Elite UK REIT ELITE SP 0.35 0.38 280 43.0% 0.40 8.6% 8.7% 8.8%
Manulife US REIT MUST SP 0.07 0.13 124 60.8% 0.23 0.0% 39.4% 45.7%
Sasseur REIT SASSR SP 0.67 0.85 652 25.9% 0.83 9.3% 9.6% 9.9%

Elite UK REIT’s dividend yield is among the highest in its peer group, while P/BV remains competitive, highlighting its relative value.

ESG Initiatives: Commitment to Sustainability and Governance

Elite UK REIT is proactively advancing its ESG agenda:

  • Targets net zero carbon emissions by 2050, in line with UK government goals.
  • Aims to achieve an EPC rating of B or higher for 100% of its portfolio by 2030.
  • Committed £14.7m over three years to sustainability enhancements for DWP and Ministry of Defence assets.
  • 98.6% of its portfolio, by gross rental income, is governed by green lease clauses as of end-FY24.
  • 100% of loans are sustainability-linked as of Dec 2024.
  • Ranked 15th in the Singapore Governance and Transparency Index in 2024, up from 40th in 2023.

Key climate and water risk metrics are improving, with only 9.2% of the portfolio (by value) exposed to high baseline water stress areas.

Risk Factors and Catalysts

  • Re-rating Catalysts: Potential NAV uplift from asset repurposing and higher dividend payout ratios.
  • Downside Risks: High tenant concentration in DWP (93.4% of gross rental income); lease renewals may impact future income stability.

Conclusion: Robust Outlook and Investment Recommendation

Elite UK REIT’s compelling combination of defensive income, proactive asset repositioning, and strong ESG credentials positions it as a leading investment choice among SREITs. The REIT retains an “Add” rating with an upgraded target price of £0.38, offering a 10.1% upside from the current price of £0.345. The projected FY25F dividend yield of 8.6% and strong NAV resilience, even as interest rates peak, signal an attractive risk-reward profile for investors seeking stable and sustainable returns.

Disclosure and Analyst Contacts

Analyst(s): LOCK Mun Yee, T: (65) 6210 8606, E: [email protected] LI Jialin, T: (65) 6210 8663, E: [email protected]
Elite UK REIT (ELITE SP)
Market Cap: US$280.5m (£208.0m)
Current Shares Outstanding: 608.1m
Free Float: 56.2%
Major Shareholders: Partner Reinsurance (22.3%), Sunway Re Cap Pte Ltd (11.6%), Ho Lee Group Trust (7.5%)
— End of Report —

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