Wednesday, July 9th, 2025

Food Empire Holdings (FEH) 2025 Outlook: Strong Growth, Bonus Issue Potential & 12-Month Target Price of S$2.28

Broker: CGS International
Date of Report: July 8, 2025

Food Empire Holdings: Robust Growth, Potential Bonus Issue, and Peer Insights in Asia’s Food & Beverage Sector

Overview: Food Empire Holdings Poised for a Landmark Year

Food Empire Holdings Ltd (FEH), a leading Singapore-based food and beverage company, is on track for a strong 2025, marking its 25th anniversary as a listed company. With anticipated double-digit revenue and profit growth, a potential bonus issue, and sustained expansion across key markets, FEH stands out in the sector. The company’s performance is especially notable as Singapore also celebrates its 60th birthday, offering a unique opportunity for shareholder rewards and heightened market presence.

Key Financial Highlights and Growth Trajectory

  • 1H25F Revenue and Profit: Projected to reach US\$261 million (+16% year-on-year), with core net profit estimated at US\$30 million (+27% year-on-year, +15% half-on-half).
  • Strong Q1 Performance: 1Q25 revenue grew 16% year-on-year, setting the pace for the first half to contribute about 50% of full-year revenue.
  • Dividend Policy: FEH typically announces only a final and special dividend (if any) at year-end. No interim dividend is expected for 1H25F.

Potential Bonus Issue for 25th Anniversary and SG60

  • FEH’s share price is at its highest since its 2000 listing. The dual milestone—25 years listed and Singapore’s 60th birthday—positions the board to consider a bonus issue for shareholders.
  • A bonus issue, while not altering valuation, increases trading liquidity. This aligns strategically with upcoming updates to the S\$5bn Equity Market Development Programme (EMDP) by the Monetary Authority of Singapore (MAS).
  • Higher trading liquidity may also attract larger institutional fund managers.
  • The last bonus issue was in 2008 (1 bonus share for every 5 held).

Share Price Outlook and Recommendation

  • Current Price: S\$1.86
  • Target Price: S\$2.28 (22.6% upside)
  • Any share price weakness from the US\$20m non-cash revaluation loss on its Redeemable Exchange Note (REN) is viewed as a buying opportunity.
  • Recommendation: Add (no change)
  • TP based on 14.2x FY26F P/E, 2 standard deviations above the 9-year average, supported by a 10.3% EPS CAGR (FY24-27F).

Key Catalysts and Risks

  • Re-rating Catalysts:
    • Improving operating margins with stabilizing market demand
    • Maintaining market share in Russia
    • Resolution to the Russia-Ukraine conflict
  • Downside Risks:
    • Escalation of the Russia-Ukraine conflict impacting Russian operations
    • Depreciation of the ruble vs. the US dollar, reducing reported revenue
    • Awaiting updates on initiatives proposed by Ikhlas Capital following REN issuance

Food Empire Holdings: Financial Summary Table

Year (Dec) Revenue (US\$m) Operating EBITDA (US\$m) Net Profit (US\$m) Core EPS (US\$) Core EPS Growth (%) FD Core P/E (x) DPS (US\$) Dividend Yield (%) EV/EBITDA (x) P/FCFE (x) Net Gearing (%) P/BV (x) ROE (%)
2023A 425.7 81.7 56.51 0.11 (5.0) 13.64 0.075 5.13 8.15 20.5 (30.6) 2.59 19.7
2024A 476.3 75.0 52.91 0.10 (10.7) 15.28 0.060 4.11 9.48 114.1 (16.2) 2.60 17.0
2025F 522.6 89.7 60.02 0.11 19.8 12.75 0.060 4.11 7.79 18.2 (18.4) 2.37 19.5
2026F 572.0 101.8 65.73 0.12 9.5 11.64 0.060 4.11 6.79 16.6 (18.8) 2.14 19.4
2027F 604.1 110.9 70.98 0.13 8.0 10.78 0.060 4.11 6.06 14.9 (21.8) 1.93 18.9

Peer Comparison: How Food Empire Stacks Up in Asia

Company Ticker Reco. Price (LC) Target Price (LC) Market Cap (US\$m) P/E CY25F P/E CY26F 3-Year EPS CAGR (%) P/BV CY25F ROE CY25F (%) Dividend Yield (%)
Food Empire Holdings Ltd FEH SP Add 1.84 2.28 760 12.6 11.5 10.3 2.35 19.5 4.1
Ajinomoto Co Inc 2802 JP NR 3,955 NA 27,267 56.7 28.5 30.2 5.32 14.9 1.2
Fraser & Neave Holdings FNH MK Add 28.80 36.50 2,494 18.1 na na 2.64 15.6 2.9
Mayora Indah Tbk PT MYOR IJ NR 2,140 NA 2,912 15.5 13.1 11.5 2.52 17.1 2.5
Monde Nissin Corp MONDE P NR 7.29 NA 2,391 12.4 11.4 223.5 2.04 17.3 2.9
Nestle (Malaysia) NESZ MK Reduce 77.10 78.00 4,269 32.8 30.2 na 30.85 96.7 2.8
Nestle SA NESN SW NR 79.27 NA 252,635 18.3 17.1 5.7 5.24 29.5 3.9
Nissin Foods Holdings Co Ltd 2897 JP NR 3,006 NA 5,956 16.3 14.8 5.7 1.75 11.7 2.4
Nongshim Co Ltd 004370 NR 395,500 NA 1,756 12.8 11.7 10.3 0.85 6.7 1.3
Power Root Bhd PWRT MK Hold 1.34 1.34 134 14.6 13.3 na 1.88 13.0 5.9
TAC Consumer PCL TACC TB NR 4.42 NA 82 9.5 8.8 12.9 3.42 37.6 10.0
Thai Beverage THBEV SP Add 0.47 0.56 9,138 10.9 na na 1.83 17.6 5.5
Toyo Suisan Kaisha Ltd 2875 JP NR 9,395 NA 6,894 15.0 14.3 4.4 1.80 12.9 2.3
Uni-President Enterprises 1216 T NR 82.50 NA 16,396 19.6 18.4 10.3 3.38 17.9 4.1
Universal Robina Corp URC PM NR 90.10 NA 3,567 15.3 14.4 7.7 1.63 10.3 4.3
Yakult Honsha Co Ltd 2267 J NR 2,680 NA 6,050 17.8 16.1 3.3 1.35 8.1 2.5

Simple average (excluding Food Empire): P/E CY25F: 19.0x, P/BV CY25F: 4.43x, ROE CY25F: 21.8%, Dividend Yield: 3.6%

ESG & Country Risk: Key Considerations

  • FEH faces country concentration risk with 30% of FY24 revenue from Russia and 7% from Ukraine. To diversify, FEH is growing its 3-in-1 coffee mix business in Vietnam and its food ingredients business in India and Malaysia.
  • Product safety is a core concern; FEH achieved zero non-compliance incidents with health, safety, and labelling regulations in FY24.
  • Environmental efforts include energy-saving initiatives in Food Empire Vietnam: day/night light systems, solar perimeter lighting, sky lights, and LED lamps.

Detailed Financials: Cash Flow and Balance Sheet Snapshots

Cash Flow Highlights (US\$m)

Year EBITDA Operating Cashflow Capex Free Cashflow to Equity Dividends Paid Total Cash Generated
2023A 81.75 53.86 (12.16) 37.65 (17.29) 9.95
2024A 74.96 25.52 (24.43) 6.70 (39.16) 0.00
2025F 89.68 62.13 (20.00) 42.13 (31.41) 10.72
2026F 101.82 76.06 (30.00) 46.06 (31.41) 14.65
2027F 110.89 81.44 (30.00) 51.44 (31.41) 20.03

Balance Sheet Highlights (US\$m)

Year Total Cash Total Debtors Inventories Total Assets Total Liabilities Shareholders’ Equity
2023A 131.3 42.4 76.7 402.9 108.4 295.6
2024A 130.9 54.0 110.8 460.1 164.0 293.8
2025F 142.7 58.9 121.4 494.5 169.8 322.4
2026F 150.3 64.0 133.8 534.6 175.6 356.7
2027F 169.8 67.3 141.3 577.9 179.4 396.3

Key Metrics and Operational Ratios

  • Revenue Growth (2025F): 9.7%
  • Operating EBITDA Margin (2025F): 17.2%
  • Net Cash Per Share (2025F): US\$0.11
  • Book Value Per Share (2025F): US\$0.61
  • Gross Interest Cover (2025F): 13.45x
  • Effective Tax Rate (2025F): 20.0%
  • Net Dividend Payout Ratio (2025F): 52.3%
  • Accounts Receivable Days (2025F): 36.3
  • Inventory Days (2025F): 121.0
  • Accounts Payables Days (2025F): 61.15
  • ROIC (2025F): 30.5%
  • ROCE (2025F): 19.9%
  • Return on Average Assets (2025F): 12.9%

Conclusion: Food Empire Holdings – A Compelling Play in Asian F&B

Food Empire Holdings continues to deliver strong earnings growth and margin expansion, supported by robust performance in its key markets and ongoing diversification. The possibility of a bonus issue in 2025 could further boost shareholder value and liquidity. With a positive outlook, attractive valuation versus peers, and disciplined financial management, FEH remains a compelling investment candidate for those seeking exposure to the Asian food and beverage sector.

Broker Rating and Sector Outlook

  • Stock Rating: Add (total return expected to exceed 10% over the next 12 months)
  • Sector Outlook: Positive, with a focus on growth, liquidity, and operational resilience
  • Peer Group: FEH is competitive across P/E, yield, and ROE metrics, standing out for its strong growth and prudent capital allocation

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