Broker: UOB Kay Hian
Date of Report: 27 June 2025
Xiaomi’s Ambitious Expansion: YU7 SUV, AI Glasses, and New Devices Drive Strong Growth Outlook
Xiaomi’s Latest Launches Fuel Investor Optimism
Xiaomi Corporation has captured market attention with a dynamic wave of product launches, including the highly anticipated YU7 SUV, innovative AI Glasses, the Mix Flip 2 smartphone, Redmi K80 Ultra, and a suite of new IoT products. UOB Kay Hian maintains a BUY rating on Xiaomi, with a target price of HK\$69.90—representing a 22.8% upside from current levels. This comprehensive update analyzes the financials, product line-up, and strategic implications of Xiaomi’s ambitious expansion across automotive, AI, and consumer electronics.
Stock Overview and Performance
- Share Price: HK\$56.90
- Target Price: HK\$69.90 (22.8% upside)
- Market Cap: HK\$1,419,563 million (US\$208,759 million)
- 52-Week Range: HK\$59.45 / HK\$15.36
- Major Shareholders: Smart Mobile Holdings Ltd (8.56%), Lin Bin (2.09%)
- Price Performance: 1M +10.9%, 3M +5.5%, 6M +73.7%, 1Y +219.3%, YTD +64.9%
Headline Launch: Xiaomi YU7 SUV
Xiaomi officially launched the YU7 SUV, targeting the mid-large, luxury family vehicle market segment. The YU7 is available in three variants:
- Standard: Rmb253,500
- Pro: Rmb279,900
- Max: Rmb329,900
Key highlights:
- Nine exterior colors, four interior color options
- LiDAR sensors and NVIDIA Drive AGX Thor platform on all models
- Free upgrades for orders before 31 July 2025 (Nappa leather seats, “zero-gravity” seats, electric front trunk, HEPA air purification, valued at Rmb29,000)
- Lifetime access to Xiaomi’s HAD self-driving system (worth Rmb26,000)
- Special carbon fibre exterior components for Max variant
Initial demand is exceptionally strong, with 289,000 orders in the first hour (including non-confirmed and refundable orders). For comparison, the SU7 received approximately 75,000 confirmed orders in its first month and around 88,898 in the first 24 hours.
YU7 vs. Competitors – Key Specifications Table
Specification |
Xiaomi YU7 Max |
Tesla Model Y Juniper AWD LR |
Luxeed R7 Max |
XPeng G9 702 Max |
NIO ES6 Long Range |
Li L6* |
Drive Type |
Dual Motor AWD |
Dual Motor AWD |
Dual Motor AWD |
Dual Motor AWD |
Dual Motor AWD |
Dual Motor AWD |
Total Power Output |
508 kW (688 hp) |
331 kW (444 hp) |
365 kW (489 hp) |
405 kW (543 hp) |
360 kW (483 hp) |
300 kW (402 hp) |
Total Torque |
866 Nm |
559 Nm |
679 Nm |
717 Nm |
700 Nm |
529 Nm |
0–100 km/h Acceleration |
3.23 sec |
4.3 sec |
3.9 sec |
3.9 sec |
4.5 sec |
5.4 sec |
Top Speed |
253 km/h |
201 km/h |
200 km/h |
200 km/h |
200 km/h |
180 km/h |
Dimensions (LxWxH mm) |
4999x1996x1600 |
4797x1920x1624 |
4956x1981x1634 |
4891x1937x1670 |
4854x1995x1703 |
4925x1960x1735 |
Battery Capacity |
101.7 kWh (CATL NMC) |
78.4 kWh |
100 kWh |
98 kWh |
100 kWh |
36.8 kWh (LFP) + 1.5L ICE |
Range (CLTC) |
760 km |
719 km |
855 km |
702 km |
625 km |
1,390 km (combined) |
Charging (10–80%) |
12 min |
27 min |
15 min |
20 min |
36 min |
20 min |
Advanced Driver Assistance |
Xiaomi Pilot Max with LiDAR |
Tesla Autopilot with FSD |
Huawei ADS |
XPILOT / XNGP |
NIO Pilot |
Li AD Max |
Infotainment System |
HyperOS with 16.1″ display |
15.4″ center touchscreen |
HarmonyOS with 15.6″ display |
14.96″ touchscreen |
12.8″ touchscreen |
15.7″ touchscreen |
Price (Rmb) |
329,900 |
313,500 |
308,000 |
309,900 |
396,000 |
279,800 |
* Li L6 is an EREV
Market Demand and Positioning
– The YU7 targets the family-use luxury SUV market, contrasting with the SU7’s driver-focused, personal enjoyment positioning. – Xiaomi expects minimal cannibalization between the YU7 and SU7 due to distinctly different target audiences. – Pre-launch interest in the YU7 was reportedly three times higher than that of the SU7.
Breakthrough in Wearables: Xiaomi AI Glasses
Xiaomi’s new AI Glasses are designed to rival Meta’s Ray-Ban offering, focusing on lightweight comfort and enhanced battery life:
- Weight: 40g (vs. Meta Ray-Ban’s 49g)
- Battery life: 8.6 hours (vs. 4 hours for Ray-Ban)
- Electrochromic function on higher-end SKUs (not available on Ray-Ban)
- No waveguide display, keeping costs lower
- Three SKUs: Standard (Rmb1,999), Black/White Electrochromic (Rmb2,699), Colored Electrochromic (Rmb2,999)
Early demand is strong, with the two electrochromic versions selling out quickly online. Xiaomi expects to sell about 300,000 units in the first year, a modest contribution (about 1%) to overall revenue.
AI Glasses Competitive Comparison Table
Category |
Meta Ray-Ban 2nd Gen |
Xiaomi AI Glasses |
RayNeo V3 |
Weight |
48.6g–50.8g |
40g (excl. lenses) |
39g (excl. lenses) |
Camera Specs |
12MP ultra-wide; video up to 1440×1920@30fps |
12MP Sony IMX681; video up to 2K@30fps; 4p+1G hybrid lens |
12MP Sony IMX681; photo up to 4K; video 1080p horiz./1440p vert. 5p lens |
No. of Cameras |
1 |
1 |
1 |
RAM |
N/A |
4 GB |
N/A |
Wi-Fi |
802.11 ac |
Wi-Fi 6 (5GHz) |
Wi-Fi 6 |
Battery Life |
4h per charge; up to 36h combined |
8.6h typical; 7h music; 21h standby |
>30min continuous video; >3h music; >18h standby |
Price |
From US\$299 (Rmb2,143) |
From Rmb1,999 |
From Rmb1,799 |
New Smartphones: Mix Flip 2 and Redmi K80 Ultra
Xiaomi Mix Flip 2: – Enhanced hinge structure while maintaining a thin (7.57mm) and lightweight (199g) design – 4.01” OLED cover screen (3,200 nits peak brightness) and 6.86” main ultra-tough glass display – Qualcomm Snapdragon 8 Elite processor – Dual 50MP cameras (wide and ultrawide) – Three configurations: 12GB/256GB (Rmb5,999), 16GB/1TB (Rmb7,299) – Entry SKU eligible for China’s trade-in subsidies (post-subsidy price ~Rmb5,499)
Redmi K80 Ultra:
Targets younger, gaming-focused users
MediaTek Dimensity 9400+ (TSMC 3nm) replaces Snapdragon 8 Gen 3
Larger device, slightly lower display resolution
Upgraded 7410mAh battery (from 6550mAh in K80)
Configurations: 12GB/256GB (Rmb2,599), up to 16GB/1TB (Rmb3,799)
Priced Rmb100-200 higher than the original K80, but discounted via national subsidy
Key Specs Comparison Table
|
Xiaomi Mix Flip 2 |
Xiaomi Mix Flip 1 |
Redmi K80 Ultra |
Redmi K80 |
Processor |
Snapdragon 8 Elite (3nm) |
Snapdragon 8 G3 (4nm) |
Dimensity 9400+ (3nm) |
Snapdragon 8 G3 (4nm) |
GPU |
Adreno 830 |
Adreno 750 |
Immortalis-G925 |
Adreno 750 |
Main Display |
6.86″ |
6.86″ |
6.83″ |
6.67″ |
Resolution |
1224×2912 |
1224×2912 |
1280×2772 |
1440×3200 |
Battery |
5165mAh |
4780mAh |
7410mAh |
6550mAh |
MSRP |
Rmb5,999 |
Rmb5,999 |
Rmb2,599 |
Rmb2,499 |
Fast Charge |
67W |
67W |
100W |
90W |
Launch Date |
6/26/2025 |
7/19/2024 |
6/26/2025 |
11/27/2024 |
Tablet Innovations: Xiaomi Pad 7S Pro and Redmi K Pad
– Xiaomi Pad 7S Pro: 12.5” 3:2 display, in-house XRING O1 SoC, positioned as a lighter alternative to the Pad 7 Ultra, pricing from Rmb3,299 (8GB/256GB) to Rmb4,499 (16GB/1TB). Trade-in subsidies lower the effective entry price. – Redmi K Pad: Redmi’s first small-sized tablet, benchmarks the iPad Mini, powered by Dimensity 9400+, enhanced for gaming (advanced cooling, dual x-axis haptics), priced Rmb2,799 (8GB/256GB) to Rmb4,199 (16GB/1TB).
IoT and Smart Home Ecosystem Expansion
Xiaomi continues to deepen its IoT ecosystem with new launches:
- Smart Band 10
- Watch S4 (41mm)
- Open Ear Earbuds Pro
- Upgraded hair dryers, vacuums, and air conditioners
Financial Highlights and Valuation
Key Financials (Rmbm)
Year |
2023 |
2024 |
2025F |
2026F |
2027F |
Net Turnover |
270,970 |
365,906 |
457,950 |
521,848 |
573,718 |
EBITDA |
19,602 |
29,504 |
50,594 |
60,385 |
70,568 |
Net Profit (Adj.) |
19,273 |
27,235 |
41,039 |
51,920 |
59,198 |
EPS (Fen) |
77.4 |
109.7 |
165.3 |
209.1 |
238.5 |
PE (x) |
66.8 |
47.2 |
31.3 |
24.7 |
21.7 |
Dividend Yield (%) |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
Net Margin (%) |
6.4 |
6.5 |
9.0 |
9.9 |
10.3 |
ROE (%) |
12.5 |
15.4 |
19.6 |
20.3 |
19.0 |
Other highlights:
- Net cash position remains robust, with net debt/(cash) to equity at -8.6% in 2025F and -35.2% in 2027F
- Revenue growth forecast: 25.2% (2025F), 14.0% (2026F), 9.9% (2027F)
Valuation and Recommendation
UOB Kay Hian maintains a BUY rating and target price of HK\$69.90 for Xiaomi. The valuation is based on:
- Core business: HK\$52.10, derived from 30.0x 2025F PE (1SD above five-year historical mean)
- EV business: HK\$17.80, based on a 10-year DCF with 9.6% WACC, implying 5.1x 2025F P/S
Conclusion: Xiaomi’s Multi-Sector Strengths Drive Robust Outlook
Xiaomi’s latest product launches across electric vehicles, AI wearables, smartphones, tablets, and IoT devices reinforce the company’s position as an innovation leader with strong consumer appeal. Early sales momentum for the YU7 SUV, solid demand for AI Glasses, and a comprehensive smart device portfolio underpin a positive growth trajectory. With a robust financial outlook and continued product diversification, Xiaomi remains a top pick for investors seeking exposure to China’s dynamic technology and consumer electronics sectors.