UOB Kay Hian Private Limited
Tuesday, 29 April 2025
iFAST Corporation: Solid Growth Drives Upgrade to BUY
iFAST Corp Ltd (IFAST SP) Overview
iFAST is a wealth management fintech platform headquartered in Singapore, providing a comprehensive range of investment products and services to financial advisory firms, financial institutions, banks, internet companies, multinational companies, as well as retail and high net worth investors in Asia. [[1]]
Key Highlights
- Upgrade: Upgraded to BUY
- Share Price: S\$6.35
- Target Price: S\$7.28
- Upside: +14.6%
Company Description
iFAST is a wealth management fintech platform headquartered in Singapore. It provides a comprehensive range of investment products and services to financial advisory firms, financial institutions, banks, internet companies, multinational companies, as well as retail and high net worth investors in Asia. [[1]]
Stock Data
- GICS sector Financials
- Bloomberg ticker: IFAST SP
- Shares issued (m): 302.8
- Market cap (S\$ m): 1,922.9
- Market cap (US\$m): 1,463.6
- 3-mth avg daily t’over (US\$m): 7.4
Price Performance (%)
- 52-week high/low S\$ 8.83/S\$ 6.02
- 1mth (14.4)
- 3mth (14.0)
- 6mth (18.1)
- 1yr (10.6)
- YTD (14.3)
Major Shareholders %
- Lim Chung Chun (CEO) 20.0
- Singapore Press Holdings 11.9
- Lim Wee Kian 6.6
Financial Data
- FY25 NAV/Share (S\$) 1.31
- FY25 Net Cash/Share (S\$) 2.19
1Q25 Results: Solid Growth in AUA and iGB Profit
iFAST’s 1Q25 earnings of S\$19m (+31% yoy) slightly missed expectations, forming 19% of the full-year forecast. Revenue rose 24% yoy, driven by growth in its core wealth management platform business and iGB’s profit turnaround. AUA continues to break records, reaching S\$25.7b (+3% qoq). iFAST lowered its 2025 PBT guidance for its Hong Kong operations by 24% due to resource ramp-up. A higher interim DPS of 1.6 S cents was proposed. The recommendation is upgraded to BUY with a reduced target price of S\$7.28. [[1]]
Key Financials: 1Q25 vs 1Q24
Year to 31 Dec (S\$m) |
1Q25 |
1Q24 |
yoy % chg |
4Q24 |
qoq % chg |
Revenue |
106.9 |
86.0 |
24.4 |
104.1 |
2.7 |
Net revenue |
67.7 |
58.1 |
16.5 |
64.8 |
4.5 |
Net revenue margin (%) |
63.3 |
67.6 |
(4.3ppt) |
65.8 |
(2.5ppt) |
PATMI |
19.0 |
14.5 |
31.2 |
19.0 |
n.a. |
PATMI margin (%) |
17.8 |
16.9 |
0.9ppt |
21.8 |
(4.0ppt) |
Detailed Results Analysis
- Slightly Below Expectations: iFAST’s PATMI jumped 31% yoy (flat qoq) to S\$19m, buoyed by a 24% yoy increase (+3% qoq) in gross revenue to S\$107m. [[2]]
- The yoy profit growth was mainly driven by its UK-based iFAST Global Bank (iGB), which posted a second consecutive quarter of profits, and the continued growth in its core wealth management platform business. [[2]]
- 1Q25 revenue and PATMI accounted for 18% and 19% of forecasts respectively, slightly below expectations from higher-than-expected operating expenses from the Hong Kong (HK) ePension division on resource ramp-up. [[2]]
- Higher Interim Dividend Proposed: iFAST proposed a higher interim DPS of 1.6 S cents vs 1.3 S cents for 1Q24, representing a 25% payout ratio (1Q24: 27%). [[2]]
- Record AUA: iFAST’s assets under administration (AUA) continued to grow to S\$25.7b as of end-Mar 25 (+22% yoy; +3% qoq), supported by net inflows of S\$938m (+36% yoy; -6% qoq). [[2]]
- Singapore continues to remain a key growth driver for AUA, reaching a record S\$18.1b (+19% yoy; +3% qoq) or 70% of group AUA. [[2]]
- iGB’s Turnaround: iGB achieved a S\$1m net profit (vs a S\$2.3m loss in 1Q24), more than doubling its S\$0.4m profit in 4Q24. [[2]]
- Gross revenue surged 105% yoy to S\$20m (+13% qoq), from a strong 124% yoy growth in customer deposits to S\$1.15b (+14% qoq). [[3]]
- The bank continues to launch new products like a debit card for multi-currency accounts to engage more local customers. [[3]]
- The EzRemit division has also hit a record-high transaction volume, contributing 74% yoy growth in non-interest commission and fee income in 1Q25. [[3]]
Key Financials Forecast
Year to 31 Dec (S\$m) |
2023 |
2024 |
2025F |
2026F |
2027F |
Net turnover |
257 |
383 |
524 |
610 |
698 |
EBITDA |
66 |
141 |
129 |
152 |
180 |
Operating profit |
42 |
114 |
92 |
106 |
125 |
Net profit (rep./act.) |
28 |
67 |
85 |
99 |
117 |
Net profit (adj.) |
28 |
67 |
85 |
99 |
117 |
EPS (S\$ cents) |
9.3 |
21.9 |
32.2 |
37.4 |
44.3 |
PE (x) |
68.1 |
29.0 |
19.7 |
17.0 |
14.3 |
P/B (x) |
7.5 |
5.9 |
4.9 |
4.0 |
3.3 |
EV/EBITDA (x) |
19.4 |
9.0 |
9.9 |
8.4 |
7.1 |
Dividend yield (%) |
0.8 |
0.9 |
1.6 |
1.8 |
2.2 |
Net margin (%) |
11.1 |
17.4 |
16.2 |
16.2 |
16.7 |
Net debt/(cash) to equity (%) |
(130.0) |
(160.0) |
(167.5) |
(149.8) |
(131.1) |
Interest cover (x) |
82.9 |
99.5 |
n.a. |
n.a. |
n.a. |
ROE (%) |
12.0 |
23.5 |
24.2 |
23.2 |
22.8 |
Consensus net profit |
– |
– |
105 |
121 |
139 |
UOBKH/Consensus (x) |
– |
– |
0.81 |
0.82 |
0.84 |
HK Contribution and ePension Division Expenses
- For 1Q25, gross revenue from iFAST’s HK business grew 13% yoy to S\$35m (flat qoq), while net revenue rose 5% yoy to S\$29m (+3% qoq). [[3]]
- This is in line with the rise in HK’s AUA to S\$3.1b (+24% yoy; +1% qoq). [[3]]
- However, profit before tax (PBT) fell 7% yoy to S\$12m (-6% qoq), due to higher operating expenses for the ePension division from a ramp-up in resources. [[3]]
- Management expects the top- and bottom lines of the ePension division to be higher in 2H25, from increased onboarding of the eMPF platform. [[3]]
Stock Impact
- Overall HK Operations Target Revised Downwards: Management has lowered its PBT guidance for the HK operations by 24% yoy, from >HK\$500m to >HK\$380m, citing higher-than-expected operating expenses. [[4]]
- Revenue guidance remains unchanged at >HKS\$1.2b. This reduces expected PBT margin from 41% to 32%, but still records a substantial 23% yoy growth in 2025 PBT due to the scheduled full onboarding of schemes by end-25. [[4]]
- The group has also provided a promising 2026 outlook of double-digit yoy growth in both revenue and PBT from HK operations. There is room for margin expansion in 2026 as efficiency improves. [[4]]
- Foray into Thailand: In Mar 25, iFAST partnered with TSFC Securities, a government-linked securities financing firm in Thailand, to expand its geographical presence. [[4]]
- By leveraging TSFC Securities’ extensive financial network and iFAST’s expertise in developing a global bond marketplace, they will create a co-branded fintech platform for Thai brokers and asset managers to trade offshore bonds. [[4]]
- This aligns with iFAST’s three-year plan (2025-27) to build a “Truly Global Business Model”, particularly with the scaling of its AUA to S\$100b by 2028-30. [[4]]
Earnings Revision/Risk
- Lowering HK’s ePension Division’s PBT Estimates: While the HK ePension division has contributed significantly, only six out of 24 schemes under the MPF System have been onboarded in ascending order of AUM. [[4]]
- Given the technical and operational risks for schemes with larger AUMs as well as the ongoing ramp-up in staff headcount, a conservative outlook is maintained. [[5]]
- Despite the stronger-than-expected performance in 2023/24, the division’s PBT contribution is forecast at a 10% discount to the guidance. [[5]]
- 2025-27 earnings forecasts have been revised downward by 13-14%, after factoring in the cut in profit guidance for the overall HK operations. [[5]]
- For AUA outlook, iFAST has continued to hit record highs, and around a 20% yoy growth is projected for 2025-27. [[5]]
Valuation/Recommendation
- Upgrade to BUY with a 12% lower PE-based target price of S\$7.28 (S\$8.30 previously), based on 25x 2025 EPS valuation or 0.5SD below its historical mean. [[5]]
- The prospects of iFAST are sanguine, supported by a three-year earnings CAGR of 26.4% from 2025-27. [[5]]
- The stock is also trading at 19.7x 2025F PE, at around a 20% discount to its peers’ average of 24.9x 2025F PE. [[5]]
Share Price Catalyst
- Higher-than-expected growth in AUA. [[5]]
- Faster onboarding of trustees to the eMPF platform. [[5]]
- Lower-than-expected costs incurred for the eMPF platform. [[5]]
HK Operations’ Actual and Target Performance
|
2023A |
2024A |
2025F |
2026F |
Gross revenue |
HK\$406m |
HK\$866m |
>HK\$1.2b |
Double digit yoy growth |
Net revenue |
HK\$306m |
HK\$656m |
>HK\$1b |
|
PBT |
HK\$139m |
HK\$309m |
>HK\$380m |
|
PBT margin (%) |
34.2% |
35.7% |
31.7% |
n.a. |
Key Metrics
Year to 31 Dec (%) |
2024 |
2025F |
2026F |
2027F |
Profitability |
|
|
|
|
EBITDA margin |
36.9 |
24.6 |
24.9 |
25.7 |
Pre-tax margin |
21.7 |
20.2 |
20.2 |
20.9 |
Net margin |
17.4 |
16.2 |
16.2 |
16.7 |
ROA |
5.3 |
4.8 |
5.1 |
5.6 |
ROE |
23.5 |
24.2 |
23.2 |
22.8 |
Growth |
|
|
|
|
Turnover |
49.3 |
36.8 |
16.5 |
14.4 |
EBITDA |
115.1 |
(9.0) |
18.1 |
18.3 |
Pre-tax profit |
126.8 |
27.3 |
16.2 |
18.5 |
Net profit |
134.9 |
27.3 |
16.2 |
18.5 |
Net profit (adj.) |
134.9 |
27.3 |
16.2 |
18.5 |
EPS |
134.9 |
46.9 |
16.3 |
18.4 |
Leverage |
|
|
|
|
Debt to total capital |
26.9 |
23.2 |
20.0 |
17.2 |
Debt to equity |
36.6 |
30.1 |
24.9 |
20.7 |
Net debt/(cash) to equity |
(160.0) |
(167.5) |
(149.8) |
(131.1) |
Interest cover (x) |
99.5 |
n.a. |
n.a. |
n.a. |