Wednesday, April 30th, 2025

iFAST Corp (IFAST SP) Stock Analysis: 1Q25 Results, BUY Upgrade, and Target Price

UOB Kay Hian Private Limited

Tuesday, 29 April 2025

iFAST Corporation: Solid Growth Drives Upgrade to BUY

iFAST Corp Ltd (IFAST SP) Overview

iFAST is a wealth management fintech platform headquartered in Singapore, providing a comprehensive range of investment products and services to financial advisory firms, financial institutions, banks, internet companies, multinational companies, as well as retail and high net worth investors in Asia. [[1]]

Key Highlights

  • Upgrade: Upgraded to BUY
  • Share Price: S\$6.35
  • Target Price: S\$7.28
  • Upside: +14.6%

Company Description

iFAST is a wealth management fintech platform headquartered in Singapore. It provides a comprehensive range of investment products and services to financial advisory firms, financial institutions, banks, internet companies, multinational companies, as well as retail and high net worth investors in Asia. [[1]]

Stock Data

  • GICS sector Financials
  • Bloomberg ticker: IFAST SP
  • Shares issued (m): 302.8
  • Market cap (S\$ m): 1,922.9
  • Market cap (US\$m): 1,463.6
  • 3-mth avg daily t’over (US\$m): 7.4

Price Performance (%)

  • 52-week high/low S\$ 8.83/S\$ 6.02
  • 1mth (14.4)
  • 3mth (14.0)
  • 6mth (18.1)
  • 1yr (10.6)
  • YTD (14.3)

Major Shareholders %

  • Lim Chung Chun (CEO) 20.0
  • Singapore Press Holdings 11.9
  • Lim Wee Kian 6.6

Financial Data

  • FY25 NAV/Share (S\$) 1.31
  • FY25 Net Cash/Share (S\$) 2.19

1Q25 Results: Solid Growth in AUA and iGB Profit

iFAST’s 1Q25 earnings of S\$19m (+31% yoy) slightly missed expectations, forming 19% of the full-year forecast. Revenue rose 24% yoy, driven by growth in its core wealth management platform business and iGB’s profit turnaround. AUA continues to break records, reaching S\$25.7b (+3% qoq). iFAST lowered its 2025 PBT guidance for its Hong Kong operations by 24% due to resource ramp-up. A higher interim DPS of 1.6 S cents was proposed. The recommendation is upgraded to BUY with a reduced target price of S\$7.28. [[1]]

Key Financials: 1Q25 vs 1Q24

Year to 31 Dec (S\$m) 1Q25 1Q24 yoy % chg 4Q24 qoq % chg
Revenue 106.9 86.0 24.4 104.1 2.7
Net revenue 67.7 58.1 16.5 64.8 4.5
Net revenue margin (%) 63.3 67.6 (4.3ppt) 65.8 (2.5ppt)
PATMI 19.0 14.5 31.2 19.0 n.a.
PATMI margin (%) 17.8 16.9 0.9ppt 21.8 (4.0ppt)

Detailed Results Analysis

  • Slightly Below Expectations: iFAST’s PATMI jumped 31% yoy (flat qoq) to S\$19m, buoyed by a 24% yoy increase (+3% qoq) in gross revenue to S\$107m. [[2]]
  • The yoy profit growth was mainly driven by its UK-based iFAST Global Bank (iGB), which posted a second consecutive quarter of profits, and the continued growth in its core wealth management platform business. [[2]]
  • 1Q25 revenue and PATMI accounted for 18% and 19% of forecasts respectively, slightly below expectations from higher-than-expected operating expenses from the Hong Kong (HK) ePension division on resource ramp-up. [[2]]
  • Higher Interim Dividend Proposed: iFAST proposed a higher interim DPS of 1.6 S cents vs 1.3 S cents for 1Q24, representing a 25% payout ratio (1Q24: 27%). [[2]]
  • Record AUA: iFAST’s assets under administration (AUA) continued to grow to S\$25.7b as of end-Mar 25 (+22% yoy; +3% qoq), supported by net inflows of S\$938m (+36% yoy; -6% qoq). [[2]]
  • Singapore continues to remain a key growth driver for AUA, reaching a record S\$18.1b (+19% yoy; +3% qoq) or 70% of group AUA. [[2]]
  • iGB’s Turnaround: iGB achieved a S\$1m net profit (vs a S\$2.3m loss in 1Q24), more than doubling its S\$0.4m profit in 4Q24. [[2]]
  • Gross revenue surged 105% yoy to S\$20m (+13% qoq), from a strong 124% yoy growth in customer deposits to S\$1.15b (+14% qoq). [[3]]
  • The bank continues to launch new products like a debit card for multi-currency accounts to engage more local customers. [[3]]
  • The EzRemit division has also hit a record-high transaction volume, contributing 74% yoy growth in non-interest commission and fee income in 1Q25. [[3]]

Key Financials Forecast

Year to 31 Dec (S\$m) 2023 2024 2025F 2026F 2027F
Net turnover 257 383 524 610 698
EBITDA 66 141 129 152 180
Operating profit 42 114 92 106 125
Net profit (rep./act.) 28 67 85 99 117
Net profit (adj.) 28 67 85 99 117
EPS (S\$ cents) 9.3 21.9 32.2 37.4 44.3
PE (x) 68.1 29.0 19.7 17.0 14.3
P/B (x) 7.5 5.9 4.9 4.0 3.3
EV/EBITDA (x) 19.4 9.0 9.9 8.4 7.1
Dividend yield (%) 0.8 0.9 1.6 1.8 2.2
Net margin (%) 11.1 17.4 16.2 16.2 16.7
Net debt/(cash) to equity (%) (130.0) (160.0) (167.5) (149.8) (131.1)
Interest cover (x) 82.9 99.5 n.a. n.a. n.a.
ROE (%) 12.0 23.5 24.2 23.2 22.8
Consensus net profit 105 121 139
UOBKH/Consensus (x) 0.81 0.82 0.84

HK Contribution and ePension Division Expenses

  • For 1Q25, gross revenue from iFAST’s HK business grew 13% yoy to S\$35m (flat qoq), while net revenue rose 5% yoy to S\$29m (+3% qoq). [[3]]
  • This is in line with the rise in HK’s AUA to S\$3.1b (+24% yoy; +1% qoq). [[3]]
  • However, profit before tax (PBT) fell 7% yoy to S\$12m (-6% qoq), due to higher operating expenses for the ePension division from a ramp-up in resources. [[3]]
  • Management expects the top- and bottom lines of the ePension division to be higher in 2H25, from increased onboarding of the eMPF platform. [[3]]

Stock Impact

  • Overall HK Operations Target Revised Downwards: Management has lowered its PBT guidance for the HK operations by 24% yoy, from >HK\$500m to >HK\$380m, citing higher-than-expected operating expenses. [[4]]
  • Revenue guidance remains unchanged at >HKS\$1.2b. This reduces expected PBT margin from 41% to 32%, but still records a substantial 23% yoy growth in 2025 PBT due to the scheduled full onboarding of schemes by end-25. [[4]]
  • The group has also provided a promising 2026 outlook of double-digit yoy growth in both revenue and PBT from HK operations. There is room for margin expansion in 2026 as efficiency improves. [[4]]
  • Foray into Thailand: In Mar 25, iFAST partnered with TSFC Securities, a government-linked securities financing firm in Thailand, to expand its geographical presence. [[4]]
  • By leveraging TSFC Securities’ extensive financial network and iFAST’s expertise in developing a global bond marketplace, they will create a co-branded fintech platform for Thai brokers and asset managers to trade offshore bonds. [[4]]
  • This aligns with iFAST’s three-year plan (2025-27) to build a “Truly Global Business Model”, particularly with the scaling of its AUA to S\$100b by 2028-30. [[4]]

Earnings Revision/Risk

  • Lowering HK’s ePension Division’s PBT Estimates: While the HK ePension division has contributed significantly, only six out of 24 schemes under the MPF System have been onboarded in ascending order of AUM. [[4]]
  • Given the technical and operational risks for schemes with larger AUMs as well as the ongoing ramp-up in staff headcount, a conservative outlook is maintained. [[5]]
  • Despite the stronger-than-expected performance in 2023/24, the division’s PBT contribution is forecast at a 10% discount to the guidance. [[5]]
  • 2025-27 earnings forecasts have been revised downward by 13-14%, after factoring in the cut in profit guidance for the overall HK operations. [[5]]
  • For AUA outlook, iFAST has continued to hit record highs, and around a 20% yoy growth is projected for 2025-27. [[5]]

Valuation/Recommendation

  • Upgrade to BUY with a 12% lower PE-based target price of S\$7.28 (S\$8.30 previously), based on 25x 2025 EPS valuation or 0.5SD below its historical mean. [[5]]
  • The prospects of iFAST are sanguine, supported by a three-year earnings CAGR of 26.4% from 2025-27. [[5]]
  • The stock is also trading at 19.7x 2025F PE, at around a 20% discount to its peers’ average of 24.9x 2025F PE. [[5]]

Share Price Catalyst

  • Higher-than-expected growth in AUA. [[5]]
  • Faster onboarding of trustees to the eMPF platform. [[5]]
  • Lower-than-expected costs incurred for the eMPF platform. [[5]]

HK Operations’ Actual and Target Performance

2023A 2024A 2025F 2026F
Gross revenue HK\$406m HK\$866m >HK\$1.2b Double digit yoy growth
Net revenue HK\$306m HK\$656m >HK\$1b
PBT HK\$139m HK\$309m >HK\$380m
PBT margin (%) 34.2% 35.7% 31.7% n.a.

Key Metrics

Year to 31 Dec (%) 2024 2025F 2026F 2027F
Profitability
EBITDA margin 36.9 24.6 24.9 25.7
Pre-tax margin 21.7 20.2 20.2 20.9
Net margin 17.4 16.2 16.2 16.7
ROA 5.3 4.8 5.1 5.6
ROE 23.5 24.2 23.2 22.8
Growth
Turnover 49.3 36.8 16.5 14.4
EBITDA 115.1 (9.0) 18.1 18.3
Pre-tax profit 126.8 27.3 16.2 18.5
Net profit 134.9 27.3 16.2 18.5
Net profit (adj.) 134.9 27.3 16.2 18.5
EPS 134.9 46.9 16.3 18.4
Leverage
Debt to total capital 26.9 23.2 20.0 17.2
Debt to equity 36.6 30.1 24.9 20.7
Net debt/(cash) to equity (160.0) (167.5) (149.8) (131.1)
Interest cover (x) 99.5 n.a. n.a. n.a.

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