Wednesday, April 30th, 2025

29 April 2025 Retail Market Monitor – Top Singapore & Hong Kong Stock Insights, iFAST Growth, Sinopharm & CapitaLand Ascott Updates 12224

Robust Earnings, Shifting Product Mix and Strategic Repositioning: A Deep Dive into 1Q25 Results Across Asia

In today’s dynamic financial landscape, market watchers and investors are closely monitoring earnings surprises, shifting product mixes, and evolving cost structures across major Asian companies. This comprehensive analysis outlines recent quarterly achievements and challenges for a broad spectrum of companies—ranging from wealth management innovators to construction giants and hospitality trusts—shedding light on how each is navigating a time of macro uncertainties and strategic repositioning.

Market Overview

Despite mixed performance in global equity markets, several key sectors have shown resilience. Advances in utility, real estate, and energy have partially offset headwinds in technology, consumer staples, and discretionary segments. The broader regional narrative highlights a cautious optimism amid macro challenges, prompting companies to optimize operations, reposition asset portfolios, and sharpen financial discipline.

iFAST Corporation: Solid Growth in AUA and a Turnaround in Banking Profitability

1Q25 Performance Highlights

  • Earnings Surge: iFAST’s profit after tax attributable to minority interests (PATMI) climbed 31% year‐on‐year to S\$19 million, driven primarily by a 24% increase in gross revenue reaching S\$107 million.
  • Wealth Management Growth: Assets under administration (AUA) hit a record S\$25.7 billion, with Singapore AUA accounting for 70% of group totals. Net inflows of S\$938 million marked a 22% year‐on‐year rise, even as quarterly growth was modest at 3%.
  • Banking Turnaround: The UK-based iFAST Global Bank (iGB) reversed its fortunes by posting a S\$1 million net profit, overturning a previous loss of S\$2.3 million and nearly doubling its 4Q24 profit.
  • Dividend Improvement: An increased interim dividend proposal of 1.6 S cents (up from 1.3 S cents) reinforces a solid payout ratio and underscores the company’s confidence.
  • Operational Challenges in Hong Kong: Despite strong AUA growth and robust deposit inflows from iGB in Hong Kong, higher operating expenses—especially within the ePension division—resulted in a 7% decline in profit before tax, prompting management to lower its PBT guidance for Hong Kong operations by 24% on a year‐on‐year basis.
  • Strategic Expansion: iFAST is expanding its geographic footprint with a strategic partnership in Thailand to develop a co-branded fintech bond marketplace, supporting its plan to scale AUA to S\$100 billion by 2028–2030.

Overall, iFAST’s diversified revenue streams and improved digital banking performance bolster its upgrade to BUY. The stock now trades at a 2025F PE of around 19.7×, approximately 20% lower than peer averages.

CapitaLand Ascott Trust: Bracing for Macro Headwinds While Repositioning the Portfolio

Key 1Q25 Developments:

  • Revenue Performance: RevPAU (revenue per available unit) grew 4% year‐on‐year to S\$141, driven by standout performances in Australia (+13%), Japan (+17%), the UK (+12%), and the US (+11%).
  • Occupancy Gains: Average occupancy improved by 4 percentage points, reaching 77%, as CLAS strategically shifts towards longer-stay properties.
  • Portfolio Strategy: With a growing focus on defensive segments such as serviced residences, student accommodation, and rental housing, CLAS has successfully redeployed divestment proceeds into potential yield-accretive assets. Its repositioning is evident as mid-to-high–end products now represent 45% of total sales volume.
  • Financial Strength: The trust maintains a 2025 distribution yield of 7.1% and a steady balance sheet, with aggregate leverage marginally rising to 39.9% due to recent acquisitions. Forward bookings in key markets remain robust.
  • Acquisitions in Japan: Accretive acquisitions such as the freehold limited-service hotels in Tokyo and Kanazawa have already begun to contribute. These properties, acquired at a discount to independent valuations, post a blended NOI yield of 4.3% and are expected to be accretive to future DPS.

CLAS’s portfolio reconstitution, coupled with defensive positioning in a volatile global economy, supports the Maintain BUY rating with a target price of S\$1.38.

China/Hong Kong Company Perspectives

BYD Electronic: Margin Challenges Amid Shifting Product Mix

  • 1Q25 Revenue Dynamics: Revenue grew marginally by 1.1% year‐on‐year to Rmb36.9 billion, albeit with a 33.2% seasonal quarter-on-quarter decline.
  • Margin Compression: A product mix shift—highlighted by robust performance in the automotive business countered by underperforming consumer electronics components—resulted in a gross margin of 6.3%, which was 0.6 percentage points below expectations.
  • Cost Control and Profit Support: Despite a narrowed gross margin, disciplined operating expense management helped net profit to grow by 1.9% year‐on‐year to Rmb622 million.
  • Outlook: Guidance for 2025 remains largely unchanged with expectations that the automotive segment will drive revenue growth as volume picks up and cost efficiencies improve.

China Resources Building Materials Technology: In-Line Results Amid Drought Impacts

  • Earnings Recovery: Reporting 1Q25 earnings of Rmb107.0 million—an impressive 470.4% year‐on‐year rebound—the company returned to profit after a challenging period.
  • Product Mix Adjustments: While cement product sales fell by 10.4% year‐on‐year, stronger performance in the concrete and aggregates segments provided a cushion, resulting in a rise in gross margin from 13.8% to 16.3%.
  • Strategic Measures: Stricter production controls and enforced overproduction regulations are expected to stabilize prices and support margins, despite continued volume pressures.

China State Construction Engineering Corporation (CSCEC): Steady Net Profit and Enhanced Operational Cash Flow

  • Earnings Overview: CSCEC’s core net profit increased modestly by 0.8% year‐on‐year in 1Q25 with revenue growth of 1.1% and significant improvements in segments such as housing and infrastructure construction.
  • Expense Efficiency and Investment Income: Lower net finance and R&D expenses, coupled with a substantial 24.7% rise in investment income and credit impairment reversals, helped stabilize profitability.
  • Cash Flow and Leverage: Despite an operating cash flow slightly impaired at –Rmb95.9 billion, improved debt-to-asset ratios and consistent demand across key construction segments underscore optimistic long-term prospects.

Goldwind Science & Technology: Earnings Growth Fuled by Accelerated Wind Turbine Shipments

  • Robust Earnings Expansion: Gross profit grew by 18.8% year‐on‐year in 1Q25 as the company posted net profit of Rmb568.2 million—a 70.8% increase over the previous year.
  • Order Backlog & Shipment Milestones: Wind turbine generator (WTG) shipment volume surged to 2,588MW, with a significant boost in units over 6MW (up 168.2% year‐on‐year) and an expansive order backlog reaching 51.1GW.
  • Guidance and Margin Recovery: The company maintains its 2025 guidance of 30GW in WTG shipments, projecting a gross margin improvement from 5.1% in 2024 to about 7%.

Sinopharm Group: In-Line Results with Clouded Growth Prospects

  • Stable Profit, Declining Revenue: In 1Q25, revenue fell by 3.8% to Rmb141.7 billion. However, net profit attributable to shareholders increased modestly by 2.6% to Rmb1.5 billion.
  • Cost Pressures and Margin Trends: Gross margin slipped by 0.21 percentage points, while focused cost controls resulted in a marginal net margin improvement to 1.03%.
  • Challenges Ahead: Widespread policy uncertainties—in areas such as group purchasing, pricing, and healthcare reform—continue to cast a shadow over revenue growth and profitability in 2025.

Tsingtao Brewery: Improving Product Mix and Accelerating New Retail Growth

  • Sales and Margin Improvements: 1Q25 revenue increased by 3% to Rmb10,446 million with a 6.0% rise in gross profit and EBIT margin improvement from 18.0% to 19.7%.
  • Volume and Pricing Trends: Beer sales volume grew by 3.5% with mid-to-high–end products representing 45% of total sales, reflecting a subtle but positive shift in product mix.
  • New Retail Dynamics: The company’s accelerated online and O2O channel expansion contributed to rapid growth in new commerce initiatives.
  • Key Financial Metrics: Investors can note strong performance ratios such as a 2025F PE of 15.7× and an EV/EBITDA of 11.7×.

Li Ning: Modest Sell-through Gains in 1Q25 Marred by Weakening Momentum

  • Stable Overall Performance: Li Ning’s retail sell-through grew at low single-digit rates in 1Q25 with modest improvements in wholesale and e-commerce channels.
  • Channel-Specific Dynamics: Offline channels began showing a year‐on‐year decline starting in March 2025, while margins were pressured by increasing discount depth.
  • Forward Outlook: Management expects discount pressure to intensify in 2Q25 as retail momentum further weakens, though channel inventory turnover remains healthy at five months.
  • Valuation: The stock is rated BUY with an unchanged target price of HK\$19.00, trading at attractive multiples relative to future earnings projections.

Conclusion: Navigating a Complex Landscape with Strategic Repositioning

The 1Q25 results from these key companies illustrate both the challenges and opportunities amid ongoing macro uncertainties. From wealth management innovators driving digital banking turnaround to construction and hospitality players rebalancing their asset portfolios, the report underscores a central theme: companies are adapting to shifting market dynamics by embracing cost controls, pursuing yield-enhancing acquisitions, and repositioning their product mixes.

Investors will need to watch operational adjustments closely and remain mindful of policy risks, especially in sectors like healthcare. With strategic moves such as iFAST’s cross-border expansion and CLAS’s defensive repositioning, the stage is set for continued growth, albeit at a measured pace.

As each company navigates its respective challenges—from margin pressures at BYD Electronic to incremental order shipment growth at Goldwind, and from evolving retail dynamics at Tsingtao Brewery and Li Ning to the cautious optimism in Sinopharm’s healthcare strategy—the overarching narrative remains one of resilience and strategic realignment in a complex global environment.

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